Bottom Drops Out; Dow Plummets 5.6%

November 21st, 2008

Via: The Street:

Stocks on Wall Street had a volatile morning Thursday before selling off sharply late in the session as traders continued to grapple with signs of economic malaise and fret about the fate of the auto industry.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which had traded in a range of more than 350 points, ended down 444.99 points, or 5.56%, at 7552.29. The S&P 500 plummeted 54.14 points, or 6.7%, to 752.44, and the Nasdaq dropped 70.30 points, or 5.1%, to 1316.12. The S&P 500 last closed lower on April 14, 1997. The Dow had its lowest close since March 12, 2003.

On Wednesday, the market fell hard, and when the new session arrived, another set of grim economic data kept the sellers in control.


Mexico: Interpol Official Involved with Narcotics Trafficking

November 20th, 2008

This reminds me of The Technology Secrets of Cocaine Inc., which is one of the all-time-must-reads. I managed to find my ancient commentary on that piece.

Via: CNN:

A vicious turf war between drug cartels and Mexican authorities that has left as many as 4,300 dead so far this year may have caused a breach in the internal security systems of Interpol, the international police organization.

Interpol, which is based in France, announced Wednesday it is sending a team of investigators to Mexico to investigate the possibility that its communications systems and databases are not being used for legitimate law enforcement purposes. The prospect was raised after the arrest of the top official working with the agency in the country.

Ricardo Gutierrez Vargas, director for International Police Affairs at Mexico’s Federal Investigative Agency and the head of Mexico’s Interpol office, was placed under house arrest Sunday, the attorney general’s office said Tuesday.

More than 30 officials have been arrested since July in connection with the anti-corruption Operation Limpieza, an ongoing investigation into information leaks by law enforcement officials to drug traffickers, said Niverda Amado, a government press secretary in Mexico City.

Gutierrez can be held for up to 40 days while authorities “obtain sufficient evidence to determine his probable responsibility,” the attorney general’s office said in a news release.

Rodolfo de la Guardia Garcia, a former top official at the Federal Investigative Agency, also is under 40-day house arrest. He was arrested October 29.

Mexico’s Interpol office, or National Central Bureau, is staffed and run by the Federal Investigative Agency.

Mexican officials did not offer specifics on their investigation other than to say that Operation Limpieza, which means “Operation Cleanup,” is aimed “against public servants who give reserved information to people not authorized to have it.”


Oil Dips Below $50 a Barrel

November 20th, 2008

Via: CNN:

Prices fall as worry about the economy continues to drag on demand. The plunge in oil prices continued Thursday with prices falling below $50 a barrel as growing concern about the economy weighed on demand.

In the final day of trading for the December contract, U.S. crude futures fell $3.35 to $50.27 a barrel in electronic trading, but not before dipping as low as $49.91.

Oil last dipped below $50 on Jan. 18, 2007, when it traded at $49.90, according to CME Group, which operates the New York Mercantile Exchange.

More: U.S. Fuel Use in First 10 Months Fell Most Since 1981


Billionaire Sheik Tries to Catch a Falling Knife

November 20th, 2008

Via: Reuters:

Citigroup Inc’s largest individual investor gave the troubled bank new support, saying he would boost his stake modestly, but failed to revive investor confidence as the bank’s shares tumbled another 10 percent.

Saudi Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, who plans to increase his stake to 5 percent from less than 4 percent, said the bank’s shares were “dramatically undervalued” following a nearly 90 percent plunge since late 2006.

He also expressed “full and complete support to Citi management,” including embattled Chief Executive Vikram Pandit, who earlier this week announced a plan to cut 52,000 jobs.

But investors were unimpressed.


Lawyer for Chiquita in Colombia Death Squad Case May be Next U.S. Attorney General

November 20th, 2008

Change™ and Hope™, now with 100% more WTF!?

Via: Huffington Post:

In its recent report entitled, “Breaking the Grip? Obstacles to Justice for Paramilitary Mafias in Colombia,” Human Rights Watch (HRW) had specific recommendations for the U.S. Department of Justice. Specifically, HRW recommended that, in order to assist with the process of ending the ties between the Colombian government and paramilitary death squads, the U.S. Department of Justice should, among other things, “[c]reate meaningful legal incentives for paramilitary leaders [a number of whom have already been extradited to the U.S.] to fully disclose information about atrocities and name all Colombian or foreign officials, business or individuals who may have facilitated their criminal activities,” and “[c]ollaborate actively with the efforts of Colombian justice officials who are investigating paramilitary networks in Colombia by sharing relevant information possible and granting them access to paramilitary leaders in U.S. custody.”

Do not expect these recommendations to be carried forward if Eric Holder decides to forgo his lucrative corporate law practice at Covington & Burling and accept the U.S. Attorney General position for which many believe he is the top contendor. Eric Holder would have a troubling conflict of interest in carrying out this work in light of his current work as defense lawyer for Chiquita Brands international in a case in which Colombian plaintiffs seek damages for the murders carried out by the AUC paramilitaries - a designated terrorist organization. Chiquita has already admitted in a criminal case that it paid the AUC around $1.7 million in a 7-year period and that it further provided the AUC with a cache of machine guns as well.

Indeed, Holder himself, using his influence as former deputy attorney general under the Clinton Administration, helped to negotiate Chiquita’s sweeheart deal with the Justice Department in the criminal case against Chiquita. Under this deal, no Chiquita official received any jail time. Indeed, the identity of the key officials involved in the assistance to the paramilitaries were kept under seal and confidential. In the end, Chiquita was fined a mere $25 million which it has been allowed to pay over a 5-year period. This is incredible given the havoc wreaked by Chiquita’s aid to these Colombian death squards.


Superbug in Supermarket Meats; CDC Says Don’t Worry

November 20th, 2008

Supersize your Superbug Burger! Actually, it’s a Superbug Clone Burger now.

Via: MSNBC:

A potentially deadly intestinal germ increasingly found in hospitals is also showing up in a more unsavory setting: grocery store meats.

More than 40 percent of packaged meats sampled from three Arizona chain stores tested positive for Clostridium difficile, a gut bug known as C. diff., according to newly complete analysis of 2006 data collected by a University of Arizona scientist.

Nearly 30 percent of the contaminated samples of ground beef, pork and turkey and ready-to-eat meats like summer sausage were identical or closely related to a super-toxic strain of C. diff blamed for growing rates of illness and death in the U.S. — raising the possibility that the bacterial infections may be transmitted through food.

“These data suggest that domestic animals, by way of retail meats, may be a source of C. difficile for human infection,” said J. Glenn Songer, a professor of veterinary science at the Tucson school, who talked with msnbc.com about work now under review by the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

But specialists from the CDC and scientists who study C. diff said the connection between the presence of C. diff bacteria and infection has not been established and that there’s not enough evidence about food transmission to warrant public alarm.

“There are no documented cases of people getting Clostridium difficile infection from eating food that contains C. difficile,” said Dr. L. Clifford McDonald, chief of prevention and response for a division of the CDC. “However, because C. difficile has been found in some retail meats, that possibility does exist.”

Songer’s samples included brands sold in grocery stores across the nation. Contamination ranged from 41 percent of pork products and 44 percent of turkey products to 50 percent of ground beef samples and more than 62 percent of samples of braunschweiger, a type of liverwurst.

Nearly three-quarters of the C. diff spores were toxinotype V, a type linked to illness in pigs and calves and, increasingly, in humans, Songer noted.


Citigroup Could Go Down

November 20th, 2008

In other news, the Chinese might buy GM. HA.

Via: Reuters:

Citigroup Inc faced a crisis of confidence on Wednesday as investors questioned the survival prospects of the U.S. banking giant, and its shares tumbled 23 percent to a 13-year low.

The second-largest U.S. bank by assets has been reeling on concerns that mounting losses from credit cards, mortgages and toxic debt could overwhelm its efforts to slash costs and add deposits. Last month, Wells Fargo & Co dealt a blow by derailing Citigroup’s bid to buy Wachovia Corp.

Citigroup shares closed down $1.96 at $6.40 on the New York Stock Exchange and have fallen 33 percent this week as some investors concluded that Chief Executive Vikram Pandit’s plan to shed 52,000 jobs and cut expenses by one-fifth won’t restore the bank to health.

“People are looking at their business model and wondering how on earth they’re going to be able to survive,” said William Larkin, a fixed-income manager at Cabot Money management in Salem, Massachusetts.

Citigroup said in a statement it has a strong capital and liquidity position, and is focused on executing its strategy, which it believes will pay off over time.


Prosecutor Who Indicted Cheney and Gonzales… Disappeared

November 20th, 2008

Via: Express News:

Willacy County prosecutor Juan Angel Guerra stumped a presiding judge and attorneys for clients as high up as Vice President Dick Cheney when he failed to show up to court on his own grand jury’s indictments.

The no-show infuriated attorneys who’d spent the day milling about with what they’d hoped would be slam-dunk motions to quash the cases.

And it put Presiding Judge Manuel Bañales in a position he said he’d never been in before.

“At the very least I expected the district attorney to be here,” Bañales said, asking Guerra’s office manager, “Do you know where he is?”

The manager, Hilda Ramirez, was subpoenaed by defense attorney J.A. “Tony” Canales when buzz circulated in the courthouse that Guerra was nowhere to be found.

Canales summoned Ramirez to act as representative for Guerra in hopes the motions could go forward.

She told the judge she had been trying to reach Guerra all day.

When Bañales asked if she were concerned for Guerra’s safety she said she would not know how to answer the question.

Guerra’s cell phone message box was full much of the day, but an assistant who answered the line late Wednesday said he was not ill.

Bañales said he would not hear the motions without the state present and set arraignments for Friday morning.

He allowed all defendants to waive court appearances and appear via their lawyers and set a jury to be called Dec. 8.

“The State of Texas is entitled to have its day in court,” he said.

Guerra, a 53-year-old Rio Grande Valley prosecutor who drew national attention for suing counterparts in the county justice system and staging a protest with barnyard animals, long has alleged high-ranking corruption in the deals that brought the impoverished county a $60 million immigration detention center.

On Monday, he got a grand jury to sign off on a slew of indictments including an acceptance of honorarium charge against state Sen. Eddie Lucio Jr., and an engaging in organized criminal activity charge against Cheney and Gonzales.

Cheney is accused of contributing to the neglect of federal immigration detainees by contracting for-profit prisons.

“By working through corporations as prisons for profit, Defendant Richard Cheney has committed at least misdemeanor assaults of our inmates and/or detainees,” the indictment reads, adding that a “money trail” can be traced to Cheney’s substantial investments in the Vanguard Group, which invests in privately run prisons.

This morning, attorneys filed motions to quash indictments “for prosecutorial vindictiveness and failure to allege an offense.”

“In most of the indictments, the prosecutor identifies himself as the victim. The prosecutor has usurped for himself the role of prosecutor, judge, victim, and director of the grand jury. His conflict of interest and abuse of office require that he be stopped,” Canales said.

A number of experts were shaking their heads at the indictment.

Shannon Edmonds of the Texas District and County Attorneys Association, after reviewing a faxed copy of the indictment against Cheney and Gonzales, said he’d never seen one like it.

“It’s a creative indictment, but I don’t think it properly alleges any crime,” Edmonds said. “It’s more of just a rambling narrative … I think a court will find that it’s legally insufficient in that it fails to allege a crime.”

Chip B. Lewis, a prominent criminal defense lawyer in Houston whose clients have included former Enron chairman Ken Lay, said, “It’s a shame. I’m not a Cheney supporter by any means. I’m Democrat. But the misuse of our criminal justice system is apparent … It just smacks of partisanship and it’s a shame that credence can be lent to this type of charge because you have a grand jury indictment.”

Lewis said, “I don’t think he (Cheney) will ever spend a day in court.”


Supercomputers Break Petaflop Barrier, Transforming Science

November 20th, 2008

Can Kurzweil’s consciousness be raptured into one of those things now?

Via: Wired:

A new crop of supercomputers is breaking down the petaflop speed barrier, pushing high-performance computing into a new realm that could change science more profoundly than at any time since Galileo, leading researchers say.

When the Top 500 list of the world’s fastest supercomputers was announced at the international supercomputing conference in Austin, Texas, on Monday, IBM had barely managed to cling to the top spot, fending off a challenge from Cray. But both competitors broke petaflop speeds, performing 1.105 and 1.059 quadrillion floating-point calculations per second, the first two computers to do so.

These computers aren’t just faster than those they pushed further down the list, they will enable a new class of science that wasn’t possible before.


Cryptogon Readers Send Contributions

November 20th, 2008

In response to my note that earnings were sharply lower this month, several readers sent contributions. Even though I specifically addressed that message to the 99% of people who read Cryptogon and do nothing to support it, most of the people below are longtime contributors. I was glad to see a few new people pitch in to help out.

Thank you all very much.

MW $20
TB $25
MB $75
KM $50
MI $20
GT NZ$30
CS £10
CM €5
MS CA$20
ES €20
OR €25
HC €20
HF CA$40
AM AU$20
DR NZ$100


Statement From G-20 Summit: In English

November 20th, 2008

Via: Solari:

The Editor of Expresso in Portugal wanted my take on the recent G-20 communique. Here is my “translation” of the official statement:

1. Now that the growth of debt and derivatives bubbles has stalled, we are committed to using governmental-central bank mechanisms to cover the positions of any of the large private financial institutions whose profits are at risk due to their management of these bubbles and who can use this opportunity to squeeze and acquire smaller rivals at low cost.

2. Our commitment to use derivatives and market interventions to shift investment from the real economy and commodities into a paper economy is firm. We will continue to use centralized governmental mechanisms to subsidize and manage this process.

3. All of the organizations and players who reaped a fortune engineering the debt and derivatives bubbles will be allowed to keep their winnings.

4. We will use this period of consolidation to further centralize the global financial system by enforcing greater centralization of the standards, practices and control of enforcement and regulatory bureaucracies. This increased governmental centralization will be presented as the “fix” for our “problems.”

5. We will continue the move toward one world government and one world currency.

6. We are prepared to use coordinated inflation of global money supplies and fiscal stimulus to protect our control and positions.

7. We are committed to the Slow Burn (see my blog post on this subject).

8. This process will continue to be managed to protect large insurance and risk positions.

9. The net result will be to continue to exercise growing control over the real economy by a handful of private families and institutions designed to protect and grow intergenerational wealth.

G-20 are silent on the military and covert action that will be required to make this stick. They are also silent on how they are going to manage this much inflation. For example, the most recent figures from the St. Louis Fed indicate that the aggregate monetary base is growing at an annualized rate of almost 800%.

Watch for a new focus on “green investing” as the trick in all of this will be how to create new productivity when the absence of real prices mean there is no market to provide the necessary signals and financial incentives.

Research Credit: Pookie and GH


New Affiliate: Swanson Health Products

November 20th, 2008

I have noticed that readers are increasingly helping Cryptogon by ordering their nutritional supplements through Amazon. I went looking for a dedicated health products company to offer you more variety and value when it comes to making your choices in this area.

I am extremely impressed with Swanson Health Products, and feel proud that they allowed Cryptogon to join their affiliate program.

I would encourage you to read through the Swanson Health Products About section… and then start checking prices. Prepare to be impressed.

The goal behind the Swanson brand is simple: The best quality at the lowest price. There’s no middle man to pay when you buy Swanson products. They’re the manufacturer. If you prefer a national brand, however, Swanson Health Products almost certainly sells it at a deep discount compared to other vendors.

How about service?

Lee Swanson, President of Swanson Health Products, has this to say:

“At Swanson Health Products, we treat every customer like we would treat a good friend or neighbor, and I think most people appreciate that. When you shop with Swanson, you can expect fast, friendly, personal service every time. Unlike most other companies, when you call Swanson, you get to talk to a real person, not a machine. That means if you have questions, you get answers. If you have a problem with your order, you get the personal attention you need to solve it promptly. It’s hard to put a dollar value on service like that, but I think it makes a huge difference. When all is said and done, our affordable prices are probably the main reason most of our customers first start shopping with Swanson, but our outstanding customer service is the main reason they keep coming back. It’s like my dad said back at the beginning, ‘the satisfaction and goodwill of our valued customers is our most important asset’.”

There’s no need to pinch yourself. You’re not dreaming. They have been doing this for nearly 40 years.


U.S. Dollar Index Shows Strong Divergence Pattern

November 19th, 2008

WARNING: This is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.

There’s potential for a sharp move lower on the dollar in the near term. Indicator trends should be moving with the index trend, but the trends on the indicators have turned down. The shooting star-type candle is more evidence that we’re seeing divergence.

Dollar holders: Watch out.

I’ve reduced my dollar holdings (again) by going back into DBA for now.

In case you didn’t catch it the first few hundred times I’ve made this point: The commodities move opposite to the dollar. So, if we get a break in the dollar… The oil chart will really have my attention.

U.S. Dollar Index, daily interval

U.S. Dollar Index, daily interval

Of course, this analysis is invalidated if the USDX moves over 88.


Consumer Prices in U.S. Decline 1%, the Most Ever

November 19th, 2008

WARNING: This is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.

Is Helicopter Ben getting ready to make another drop? I think so.

From Confusion reigns: A crisis-driven global rush to dollar liquidity is not deflation:

In the crisis stage of a debt deflation, defined by Fisher and Minsky as a reduction in debt financing, credit and money market panic causes banks to stop lending and borrowing from each other, pay off existing loans to shore up their balance sheets, and build reserves against expected future losses. This creates a short term spike in demand for the currency in which the debt is denominated, in the current case dollars. To the uninitiated, this looks like monetary deflation. A strengthening currency and falling interest rates also characterizes monetary deflation. That can in time produce commodity price deflation, so the confusion is understandable. But don’t be fooled.

Via: ABC - AP:

Consumer prices plunged by the largest amount in the past 61 years in October as gasoline pump prices dropped by a record amount.

The Labor Department said Wednesday that consumer prices fell by 1 percent last month, the biggest one-month decline on records that go back to February 1947. The drop was twice as large as the 0.5 percent decline analysts expected.

In other economic news, the Commerce Department reported that construction of new homes and apartments fell by 4.5 percent in October to an annual rate of 791,000 units. That was the slowest construction pace on records going back to 1959 and underscored that housing remains caught in a severe slump.

The big drop in inflation reflected not only a huge fall in gasoline and other energy costs, but widespread declines in other areas. Core consumer prices, which exclude food and energy, fell by 0.1 percent last month, the first drop in core prices in more than a quarter-century.

There were price declines for clothing, new and used cars, and airline fares. Analysts predicted further declines in the months ahead as retailers struggle to attract consumers who are being battered by rising unemployment and the weak economy.

“This report clearly reflects the crunch in discretionary consumers’ spending which is likely to persist for the foreseeable future,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics.

The big retreat in consumer prices represented a remarkable turnaround from just a few months ago when a relentless surge in energy prices raised concerns that inflation could get out of control.

Since that time, the economy has been jolted by the most serious financial crisis in seven decades with all the turbulence expected to push the country into a severe and prolonged recession.

The U.S. troubles have quickly spread overseas, depressing growth around the world and cutting into demand for oil and other products, a development that has resulted in sharp declines in the price of crude oil and other commodities.


War Criminal and International Fugitive, Henry Kissinger, Says Hillary Clinton Would Be Outstanding Secretary of State

November 19th, 2008

Can you feel the Hope and Change yet?

I wonder… At what point will the Obama woowoos experience the, “Oh shit” moment?

Via: Bloomberg:

Henry Kissinger said Hillary Clinton, a leading contender to be the Barack Obama’s Secretary of State, would be an “outstanding” appointment.

“She is a lady of great intelligence, demonstrated enormous determination and would be an outstanding appointment,” Kissinger, who served in the post from 1973 to 1977 under presidents Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford, told the World Economic Forum’s India Economic Summit in New Delhi today.

New York Senator Clinton appears to be President-elect Obama’s leading choice for the job, according to a Democrat familiar with the matter. Clinton, who lost to Obama for the Democratic presidential nomination, flew on Nov. 13 to Chicago, where the two met.


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