Government to Spend £50 Billion to Part-Nationalise UK’s Banks
October 8th, 2008Via: Guardian:
The government has confirmed that it will spend £50bn to part-nationalise Britain’s biggest banks, in a dramatic attempt to stop the country’s financial system melting down.
Today’s momentous decision to pump £50bn of taxpayers’ money into the troubled banking sector came after government ministers and bank officials thrashed out the details of the plan into the early hours of the morning.
The £50bn bail-out is equivalent to £2,000 for every taxpayer in the UK, and analysts warned today that the public will “foot the bill” for the plan. The government is also now offering to lend £200bn to the sector – much bigger than previously thought – as short-term loans in an attempt to thaw the frozen interbank lending markets, plus a further £250bn to guarantee bank debts.
Eight banks and building societies will take part in the scheme – Abbey, Barclays, HBOS, HSBC, Lloyds TSB, Nationwide Building Society, Royal Bank of Scotland and Standard Chartered.
Related: People Line Up to Buy Gold in Britain
Sad Guys on Trading Floors
October 8th, 2008Gold Sharply Higher on Rate Cuts
October 8th, 2008Via: Dow Jones:
New York gold futures traded sharply higher early Thursday following a coordinated rate cut by the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and other major banks.
This has triggered safe-haven buying on ongoing worries about the world financial system, as well as buying as a hedge against potential inflation down the road as a result of easier monetary policy, traders and analysts said.
Around 8:40 a.m. EDT (1240 GMT), December gold was up $32.80 to $914.80 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. December silver was 54.5 cents higher at $11.925.
Gold was higher in overnight screen trading and remains firmer after initial volatility when the news broke that the Fed cut its federal-funds rate by 50 basis points to 1.5%. Others cutting rates included the Bank of Canada, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Sweden’s Riksbank and the Swiss National Bank.
“With the concentrated effort around the world, it shows fear,” said Charles Nedoss, senior account manager and metals analyst with Peak Trading Group. ” People are worried that No. 1, it is inflationary. And No. 2, where do you go from here if this doesn’t work.”
Syrian Troops Gather on Lebanese Border
October 8th, 2008Monitoring…
Via: AP:
A few tents and trucks dotting a green hill across the river are about all that is visible of a Syrian troop deployment on Lebanon’s northern border — a buildup that has raised concerns of a possible Syrian incursion.
There was no sign Wednesday that the Syrian troops were preparing to cross the border. Syria says the deployment — first made public several weeks ago — is aimed at preventing smuggling from Lebanon.
But the United States and some anti-Syrian politicians in Beirut have warned that Syria could attempt an incursion, a concern raised especially after a Sept. 27 car bombing in Damascus killed 17 people.
In Washington, Deputy State Department spokesman Robert Wood on Monday said, “Any intervention by Syrian troops into Lebanon would be unacceptable.”
SEVERAL CENTRAL BANKS CUT RATES SHARPLY
October 8th, 2008WARNING: This is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.
I was in the market yesterday, as the Dow was continuing to tank. I was looking to buy October call options on DIA, strike 115. In English, as the Dow was tanking, I was looking to make a very high risk, high reward bet that the Dow would rise sharply over the next several days.
I never pay the ask on options. The spread was .06 x .09. So I sent in a limit order for .07, which put me on top of the bid. I went to bed. When I woke up, I checked to see if I got filled. I saw that the Dow declined further and sharply from where I entered my order for those calls.
“Oh goody, I got filled for sure,” I thought.
I logged into TradeKing and saw that, not only did I not get hit, but those options had increased in value as the market tanked!
INCREASED.
The moral of the story: When you smell a rat, pay the ask.
There are a couple of explanations of why the premium on those calls increased as the Dow declined. The first one is simply that people knew emergency rate cuts were hours away and were looking for a cheap way to be up wind when the fire started. Another explanation is that black box systems started making very long shot bets the other way as the downside move became more extreme.
Anyway, it will be interesting to watch those 115s from here.
Via: Reuters:
The Federal Reserve led a global round of emergency interest rate cuts Wednesday in an effort to contain the worst financial crisis since the 1930s.
The Fed said it was cutting its key federal funds rate by 50 basis points to 1.5 percent. China, the European Central Bank (ECB) and central banks in Britain, Canada, Sweden and Switzerland also cut rates in the coordinated response which analysts had been demanding.
“Incoming economic data suggests that the pace of economic activity has slowed markedly in recent months,” the Fed said in a statement.
“Moreover, the intensification of financial market turmoil is likely to exert additional restraint on spending, partly by further reducing the ability of households and businesses to obtain credit.”
World stock markets cut heavy losses after the move.
The dollar fell further versus major currencies and U.S. Treasuries rose. German government bond futures wiped out gains, while European bank shares turned positive.
Stock Markets in Russia, Indonesia Halted
October 8th, 2008Via: Bloomberg:
Russia, Indonesia, Ukraine and Romania shut their stock exchanges after shares plummeted in the worst week for emerging-markets in at least two decades.
Russia’s Micex Index dropped 14 percent, having already slumped 20 percent this week, before trading stopped at 11:05 a.m. in Moscow. The exchange won’t reopen until Oct. 10 unless the Federal Financial Markets Service says otherwise, Micex spokesman Alexei Gerasyuk said by phone. The Jakarta Composite index fell 21 percent in its biggest weekly slump in at least 25 years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Investors are fleeing on concern the worsening global credit crisis will cause more banks to collapse and push the global economy into recession, lowering the price of the commodities that drive developing nation economies. The benchmark MSCI Emerging Markets index is headed for its worst weekly decline since it was established in 1987 after falling 21 percent.
Retirement Accounts Have Lost $2 Trillion So Far
October 8th, 2008Via: AP:
Americans’ retirement plans have lost as much as $2 trillion in the past 15 months — about 20 percent of their value — Congress’ top budget analyst estimated Tuesday as lawmakers began investigating how turmoil in the financial industry is whittling away workers’ nest eggs.
The upheaval that has engulfed financial firms and sent the stock market plummeting is also devastating people’s savings, forcing families to hold off on major purchases and even delay retirement, Peter Orszag, the head of the Congressional Budget Office, told the House Education and Labor Committee.
As Congress investigates the causes and effects of the meltdown, the panel pressed economists and other analysts on how the housing, credit and other financial troubles have battered pensions and other retirement funds, which are among the most common forms of savings in the United States.
AIG Executives Pampered at California Spa After Bankruptcy
October 8th, 2008Via: Los Angeles Times:
When the going gets tough, the tough get pedicures.
Just days after the federal government committed $85 billion of taxpayers’ money to a bailout of insurance giant AIG last month, senior execs from the troubled company headed to Southern California’s ultra-swanky St. Regis Resort in Monarch Beach for a week of wining and dining top salespeople.
“They had a conference here,” resort spokeswoman Kristi Turek confirmed Tuesday, “but we don’t get into details of what they did during that time.”
As it happens, congressional investigators released AIG documents earlier in the day showing that the company paid more than $440,000 for the event, including nearly $200,000 for rooms, $150,000 for meals, $23,000 in spa charges and almost $7,000 for golf outings.
The post-bailout getaway for American International Group execs is just one of a series of jaw-dropping revelations to emerge this week about the behavior of some of the companies involved in the financial crisis.
JAPAN: NIKKEI PLUNGES 9.4%
October 8th, 2008Via: AP:
Japan’s stock market plummeted 9.4 percent — its biggest one-day drop in 21 years — Wednesday as investors rushed for the exits on deepening fears over the global financial crisis.
The benchmark Nikkei 225 index nose-dived 952.58 points to 9,203.32, a five-year low. That was its third-biggest drop in percentage terms and the largest plunge since October 1987.
Toyota’s shares fell nearly 12 percent on concerns about its earnings amid a slump in the vital U.S. car market.
The massive sell-off in Tokyo follows a sharp retreat on Wall Street Tuesday, when the Dow Jones industrial average lost more than 5 percent despite steps by the Federal Reserve to reinvigorate dormant credit markets.
“Selling on Wall Street triggered further selling in Tokyo. It’s like a chain reaction,” said Kazuhiro Takahashi, general manager at Daiwa Securities SMBC Co. Ltd.
“No one knows the bottom of the ongoing financial crisis, and investors were really spooked by growing uncertainty over the global credit crisis,” he said.
Selling accelerated as investors were pessimistic that the finance ministers and central bankers from the Group of Seven industrialized nations would announce any effective measures at their meeting in Washington on Friday to tackle the global financial crisis, Takahashi said.
“Investors were taking a wait-and-see approach over the upcoming meeting, but today’s massive selling indicated that they were not so hopeful for concrete action by the G7,” he said.
The Nikkei index has lost a staggering 24 percent in the last two weeks.
And Now… MetLife
October 8th, 2008Via: Bloomberg:
MetLife Inc., the biggest U.S. life insurer, withdrew its 2008 earnings forecast and said third- quarter operating profit fell as much as 48 percent as investment income declined. The company plans to sell 75 million shares.
Operating earnings for the quarter that ended in September declined to between $600 million and $675 million, or 83 cents to 93 cents a share, the New York-based company said today in a preliminary statement. That compares with year-earlier results of $1.16 billion, or $1.52 a share.
“Given the current volatility, the company is withdrawing its 2008 earnings guidance,” MetLife said. The company will report full results on Oct. 29.
MetLife is writing down its $350 billion investment portfolio as the biggest housing slump since the Great Depression pushes down the value of fixed-income and equity holdings. The insurer, led by Chief Executive Officer Robert Henrikson, was stung by losses related to investments in hedge funds and private-equity firms as well as its stakes in failed companies including Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Washington Mutual Inc.
The company announced plans to sell 75 million shares in a public offering to raise capital amid the financial crisis. The offering may be priced tomorrow, MetLife said in a statement.
MetLife tumbled $7.45, or 17 percent, to $36.87 at 4 p.m. today on the New York Stock Exchange as credit concerns pushed the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its lowest since 2003. MetLife shares have dropped 48 percent in the past year.
More Defaults
Chief Investment Officer Steve Kandarian predicted in June that more companies would default on their debt as the economy slows. MetLife cut its investments in airline, carmaker and homebuilder bonds, and sold commercial mortgages at a loss in the second quarter to reduce risk.
Hartford Financial Services Group Inc., the Connecticut- based life and property-casualty carrier, said yesterday it would raise $2.5 billion in capital. Insurers plunged in New York trading this week on concerns that investment losses could erode capital.
The largest insurers in the U.S. and Bermuda have posted more than $80 billion in writedowns on mortgage-related holdings as subprime home borrowers fail to repay their debts. Insurers invest premiums before paying claims.
Variable-investment income, which includes hedge-fund and private-equity returns, will be about $117 million below expectations, MetLife said.


