Sweden Approves Warrantless Wiretapping Law
June 19th, 2008Via: BBC:
Sweden’s parliament has approved controversial new laws allowing authorities to spy on cross-border e-mail and telephone traffic.
The country’s intelligence bureau will be able to scan international calls, faxes and e-mails.
The measure was passed by a narrow majority after a heated debate in the Stockholm parliament.
Critics say it threatens civil liberties and represents Europe’s most far-reaching eavesdropping plan.
“By introducing these new measures, the Swedish government is following the examples set by governments ranging from China and Saudi Arabia to the US government’s highly criticised eavesdropping programme,” said Peter Fleischer, of Google.
Checks and balances
But those who support the plans say such measures are needed to protect national security from those increasingly using such technology to plan attacks.
The government insists that it will filter out domestic communication and monitor only international calls, faxes and messages.
Some experts insist that it is impossible to differentiate between domestic and international traffic.
Under the new law, Sweden’s intelligence bureau will no longer need a court order to begin surveillance, unlike the police.
FBI Arrests Two Former Bear Stearns Hedge Fund Managers
June 19th, 2008Just two?
Via: WNBC:
FBI agents have arrested two former Bear Stearns hedge fund managers, sources familiar with the case said.
Former Bear Stearns managers Ralph Cioffi Jr. and Matthew Tannin are charged in connection with allegations they misled investors as the two hedge funds they helped run collapsed amid the subprime mortgage meltdown.
The two are scheduled to be arraigned later Thursday in Brooklyn federal court, sources said.
Investigators had been looking, in part, into statements the two men made assuring investors the hedge fund was in solid financial shape just before the funds lost more than $1.5 billion in value.
Wealthy Investors Shift Funds from Global Banks to Reduce Risks
June 19th, 2008Via: Bloomberg:
High-net worth individuals, those coveted financial-services customers with at least $2 million to invest, are shifting assets from brokerages and large global banks to smaller, more conservative alternatives.
“For the first time in my career, I saw concern about the location of one’s assets,” said Robert Balentine, the head of Wilmington Trust Corp.’s investment management group. “We’ve seen tangible evidence of very wealthy clients shifting assets out of brokerage firms in great numbers.”
Trust companies like Wilmington are benefiting from record subprime-infected losses at companies led by Zurich-based UBS AG, the world’s biggest money manager for the rich. UBS clients probably withdrew a net $39 billion during the past three months after the company reported more than $38 billion of writedowns and credit-market losses in the past year, London-based analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. estimate.
Clients may say “if UBS can’t manage its own capital, then what the hell are they going to do with mine?” said David Maude, a financial services consultant in Verona, Italy, who calls UBS the “Rolls Royce” of the industry. “It does tarnish their reputation, certainly.”
UBS contacted 2.5 million Swiss consumer and wealth- management customers last month after losing 11.5 billion francs ($10.9 billion) in the first quarter and seeing a net withdrawal of 12.8 billion francs in its asset and wealth-management units.
The company has responded with “proactive, ongoing communication” with clients, said Jim Pierce, co-head of UBS’s U.S. Wealth Management Advisory Group, in an e-mailed response to questions. UBS is “willing to have the difficult conversations,” Pierce said.
U.S. Market
“UBS is fully committed to the U.S. market,” Pierce said. “Approximately 30 percent of the world’s wealth is located in the U.S., therefore as a global wealth manager, the U.S. is of great importance to UBS.”
Wilmington Trust was founded in 1903 to oversee the fortune of the DuPont family. Trusts, unlike brokerages, have fiduciary obligations to their clients.
The Wilmington, Delaware-based firm had about 80 advisers in its family office practice at the end of last year, up from 45 in 2006, who concentrate on clients with at least $10 million of assets. The company’s wealth advisory and planning services unit reported a 14 percent increase in revenue in 2007.
Even before the Bear Stearns collapse in March, some clients were questioning the wisdom of Wall Street firms losing billions of dollars on subprime mortgages, then seeking cash infusions from overseas sovereign wealth funds, said Balentine, Wilmington’s investment executive.
Secret Report Says U.S. Nuke Parts Missing
June 19th, 2008Via: Financial Times:
The US military cannot locate hundreds of sensitive nuclear missile components, according to several government officials familiar with a secret Pentagon report on nuclear safeguards.
Robert Gates, US defence secretary, recently fired both the US Air Force chief of staff and air force secretary after an investigation blamed the air force for the inadvertent shipment of nuclear missile nose cones to Taiwan.
According to previously undisclosed details obtained by the FT, the investigation also concluded that the air force could not account for many sensitive components previously included in its nuclear inventory.
One official said the number of missing components was more than a thousand.
The disclosure is the latest embarrassing episode for the air force, which last year had to explain how a bomber mistakenly carried six nuclear missiles across the US. The incidents have raised concerns about US nuclear safeguards as Washington presses other countries to bolster counter-proliferation measures.
In announcing the departure of the top air force officials earlier this month, Mr Gates said Admiral Kirkland Donald, the naval officer who led the investigation, concluded that both incidents had a “common origin” which was “the gradual erosion of nuclear standards and a lack of effective oversight by air force leadership”.
Mr Gates added that the Pentagon was evaluating the results of a “comprehensive inventory of all nuclear and nuclear-related materials [conducted] to re-establish positive control of these sensitive, classified components”.
Adm Donald briefed Congress on the results of his investigation on Wednesday. Bryan Whitman, Pentagon spokesman, declined to comment on the classified report.
A senior defence official said the report had “identified issues about record keeping” for sensitive nuclear missile components. But he stressed that there was no suggestion that components had ended up in the hands of countries that should not have received them.
But Daryl Kimball, executive director of the Arms Control Association in Washington, said the revelation was “very significant and extremely troubling” because it meant the US could not establish the positive control referred to by Mr Gates.
“It raises a serious question about where else these unaccounted for warhead related parts may have gone,” said Mr Kimball. “I would be surprised if the recent Taiwan incident is not the only one.”
A senior military officer said the military leadership, including Admiral Mike Mullen, the chairman of the joint chiefs, was “deeply troubled” by the findings of the so-called Donald report. He added that they would be paying close attention to recommendations for improving nuclear safeguards that Mr Gates has asked James Schlesinger, a former defence secretary, to make.
Gordon Johndroe, National Security Council spokesman, declined to comment on the disclosure about the unaccounted for components. But he said the “the White House has confidence that Secretary Gates through his actions with the air force is addressing all of these issues”.
Giant Oil Companies to Return to Iraq Under No Bid Contracts
June 19th, 2008Imagine my complete and total shock.
Via: IHT:
Four Western oil companies are in the final stages of negotiations this month on contracts that will return them to Iraq, 36 years after losing their oil concession to nationalization as Saddam Hussein rose to power.
Exxon Mobil, Shell, Total and BP — the original partners in the Iraq Petroleum Company — along with Chevron and a number of smaller oil companies, are in talks with Iraq’s Oil Ministry for no-bid contracts to service Iraq’s largest fields, according to ministry officials, oil company officials and an American diplomat.
The deals, expected to be announced on June 30, will lay the foundation for the first commercial work for the major companies in Iraq since the American invasion, and open a new and potentially lucrative country for their operations.
The no-bid contracts are unusual for the industry, and the offers prevailed over others by more than 40 companies, including companies in Russia, China and India. The contracts, which would run for one to two years and are relatively small by industry standards, would nonetheless give the companies an advantage in bidding on future contracts in a country that many experts consider to be the best hope for a large-scale increase in oil production.
There was suspicion among many in the Arab world and among parts of the American public that the United States had gone to war in Iraq precisely to secure the oil wealth these contracts seek to extract. The Bush administration has said that the war was necessary to combat terrorism. It is not clear what role the United States played in awarding the contracts; there are still American advisers to Iraq’s Oil Ministry.
Sensitive to the appearance that they were profiting from the war and already under pressure because of record high oil prices, senior officials of two of the companies, speaking only on the condition that they not be identified, said they were helping Iraq rebuild its decrepit oil industry.
Flooded Corn Fields = Higher Gasoline Prices
June 19th, 2008This situation represents a massive, slow moving disaster and few people (outside of commodity trading circles) even realize it yet. The criminal corn lobby, and the whores in Congress who service it, are the ones to thank for this.
Via: Reuters:
U.S. gasoline prices, which have already jumped to a nationwide average over $4 per gallon, may get an extra nudge from soaring costs for gasoline-additive ethanol as the worst floods in 15 years hit the Midwest Corn Belt.
The outlook is bad news for American motorists already suffering sticker shock at the gas pumps at the start of the summer driving season.
“If we have prolonged rail and barge delays of getting Midwest ethanol to all the coast, then it will have an absolute upward impact on prices right now,” said Stephen Schork, editor of The Schork Report in Philadelphia. “I could probably see it adding another nickel to another dime to the prices at the pump as we head toward the July 4th holiday.”
The cost of corn-based ethanol, a blendstock that now makes up about 7 percent of the U.S. gasoline pool, has jumped 20 percent in two weeks as flooding damages Midwest corn crops, shuts down distilleries and disrupts rail traffic to get the ethanol to market.
The surge brings the price of ethanol to about $2.90 a gallon, still well below the overall price of finished gasoline. But the increased price of the key ingredient could still filter down to drivers.
The Best Farmland in the U.S. Is Flooded; Most Americans Are Too Stupid to Panic
June 19th, 2008The best commentary I could offer is a link to a previous story:
World’s Largest Maker of Crop Nutrients: Famines May Occur Without Record Harvests
But I’ll ramble on a bit more about this, anyway.
As soon as I became aware of the flooding situation in the American Midwest, I posted the story with the EMERGENCY prefix on the title. Just so we’re clear, when I write EMERGENCY at the beginning of a post title, this is my way of indicating that the situation is as serious as it gets. It means that I feel as though everyone reading should consider taking immediate evasive action. All the jawboning about conspiracy, how things could have been, how things should be, etc. are behind us now. You know, EMERGENCY, act fast, eyes wide, nostrils flared, etc.
While the food supply situation has skated along a knife edge so far this year, with higher prices and many countries experiencing food riots, widespread famine did not take hold. In an incredible move, the Japanese quietly eased rice shortages by releasing portions of their imported rice stockpiles—from giant warehouses in Tokyo—into the system; a welcome but one off blip in the big picture. What happens next time?
Now, this growing season, when yields need to be at record levels to avert disaster, what do we find? Floods or droughts in several of the breadbaskets of the world.
Whatever your plans are, I hope that you’re ready to execute them (or, better yet, are executing them). I’m pretty sure that most people have done nothing, and I don’t know why this continues to amaze me.
How can so many people, even those who should know better, be content to hit the wall without doing anything at all to change course? This includes my own family, who lives in Southern California.
I view Southern California as one of the most dangerous death traps in the world. Since it’s such an important focus of economic activity, though, I like to keep tabs on herd activity there, just for my own situational awareness. I can’t get a meaningful response from my dad—who thinks that traffic jams everywhere in the region and at all times of the day and night represent ‘progress’—I emailed someone there who’s about to flee to a country in Northern Europe. I asked if there was even a subtle sense of panic setting in with regard to the food and fuel prices. Here is part of the response I received:
I have noticed that most people don’t even have instinct enough to panic and hoard, and they wouldn’t know *what* to hoard. They don’t cook, they don’t know what a ‘staple’ means. A young woman in my training last week brought animal crackers and cheese ruffles for breakfast, and a box of Cheezits and Coke Zero for lunch. I asked her mockingly if she’d tried fruit or vegetables, she said she couldn’t afford them. I once saw a woman behind me at Ralphs with food stamps, and she was buying cottage cheese, dry pinto beans, and wheat bread, and told her kid to put the Doritos back. If you don’t have that kind of sense to begin with, the current situation is not going to give it to you.
We’re now well into a phase where system maintenance depends on the inability of the herd to grasp the nature of the immanent threat. “Yes, Kevin,” you say. “Same as it ever was.”
I don’t think so. The food situation is far off the radar screens of Joe Average. It only becomes a problem after it’s too late to do anything substantive to ameliorate conditions. We’ve already seen food riots, armed escorts for grain deliveries, rationing, sharply higher prices. And still, I’m mostly noticing yawns and drugged gurgles from the herd. Meanwhile, the die is all but cast on this year’s lower crop yields.
If the herd had any idea of what was coming, this show would be over inside of 24 hours. You might be sick of reading this on Cryptogon, but, it’s worth repeating: Use your time wisely.
Via: Financial Times:
Consumers were warned to expect even sharper increases in global food prices after US officials said that some of the country’s best farmland was facing its worst flooding for 15 years.
Agriculture officials and traders said the damage could push up worldwide corn and soyabean prices, which have spiralled in recent days as floods have swamped crops in parts of Iowa, the US’s biggest corn-producing state.
The warning comes at a time when high food prices are already sparking protests across the developing world.
Corn futures in Chicago this week rose to record highs of more than $8 a bushel on fears that up to 5m acres of the crop could be lost, while soyabean prices hit a record of $15.93 a bushel.
Tom Jennings, acting director of the Illinois Department of Agriculture, said: “The price of corn and the price of beans could rise more. If we lose a lot of corn the prices will continue to go up.”
The increase in the cost of corn and soyabeans – the two main feed crops for farm animals such as cows and chickens – increased the price of live cattle yesterday for the second day in a row, to the highest level in 22 years.
Mr Jennings said that the impact of the heavy rains was “dramatic”.
“According to the emergency reports I’m getting, we’re above what happened in 1993 but we’ll have to see how that tapers off as [the rain water] comes down the river,” he told the Financial Times.
The Mississippi River broke through its levee system in 1993, destroying about 1m acres of crops and causing $20bn of damage.
Lewis Hagedorn, of JPMorgan in Chicago, said that the losses were significant.
“The risk of still-higher agricultural prices remains decisively distributed to the upside amid the fundamental need to ration demand in light of smaller supply,” he said.
Greg Wagner, at Ag Resource in Chicago, added that corn prices could take a pause to assess the weather impact. However, he warned: “Additional price gains are likely as the market is prone to overshoot.”
After weeks of heavy rains and low temperatures, the US Department of Agriculture said that only 57 per cent of the country’s corn crop is in good or excellent condition, considerably less than the 70 per cent registered this time last year.
Local farmers in Illinois said that the bad weather had delayed planting by up to five weeks, which would result in a much reduced crop of corn and soyabeans. Some farmers expected their corn production to be down by as much as 50 per cent from last year’s level.
Agriculture traders described the problem graphically, saying that corn plants in Iowa or Illinois should now be reaching almost waist height, but due to the impact of the heavy rains and low temperatures were below knee-height.
They added that expensive nitrogen fertiliser – critical for the plants’ development – has now been washed out from the fields by the rains. For that reason, some farmers are likely to leave their land fallow and, instead, cash in their crop insurance policies, further reducing supply.
MEXICO FREEZES PRICES ON FOOD ITEMS TO STEM INFLATION
June 19th, 2008Via: Houston Chronicle:
Moving to stem rising inflation and civil discontent, President Felipe Calderon and Mexican industrialists announced an agreement Wednesday to freeze prices on more than 150 food items.
The pact, which will be in effect through the end of the year, comes amid escalating costs of corn and other staples of the Mexican diet. Companies agreed to hold prices steady for cooking oil, tortillas, flour, tomato sauce, canned soups and tuna, beans, chili sauces and other staples of the Mexican table.
“In recent months the significant increase in the price of food has been felt worldwide,” Calderon said in announcing the deal. “Maintaining the maximum prices of these products fixed will truly permit an enormous support for the household economy.”
Calderon last month ordered the easing of restrictions on imported corn, wheat and rice to stabilize local prices of those grains. He has also announced measures — criticized as insufficient by farm groups — to boost agricultural production and lower farmers’ costs.
This year’s sustained price spikes for oil, grains and other commodities have sparked riots across the developing world and parts of Europe. Food riots brought the forced resignation of Haiti’s prime minister earlier this year.
Though Mexico’s mostly urban population has remained calm, Calderon’s government has been maneuvering to keep food and gasoline prices low.
The price freeze on some items will hold until December only if “there aren’t indiscriminate increases in these prices, specifically of raw materials,” said Ismael Plascencia, president of the Concamin, a national organization composed of various manufacturers associations.
But increasing raw material costs are as likely for Mexican manufacturers as they are worldwide, said economist Rogelio Ramirez de la O, whose firm advises some of the largest companies operating here.
“Everything is going up in price,” Ramirez de la O said. “There is no escape.”
Larger Mexican companies, some of which have a stranglehold on their industries and enjoy profit margins of as much as 30 percent, likely will be able to absorb the increased costs, Ramirez de la O said. But many smaller manufacturers could be severely squeezed.
“No one really expects these prices to be fixed for such a long time,” said Ramirez de la O, who also served as economic advisor to the leftist candidate who lost the presidential election two years ago to Calderon.
The price of corn tortillas rose 22 percent early last month, according to the federal consumer protection agency, while rice has spiked by 40 percent since the beginning of the year.
Calderon’s government disclosed recently that nearly all the windfall profits from Mexico’s oil exports — 1.3 million barrels a day to the U.S. Gulf Coast refineries — are being spent to subsidize gasoline sold inside the country.
Mexico imports about 40 percent of its gasoline, most of it from the United States. Regular gasoline sells for about $2.80 a gallon, far lower than the price in the United States.
“This is a populist measure,” Ramirez de la O said of Wednesday’s accord. “The government is running very short of real alternatives.”
Australia: Food Bowl Areas Soon “Beyond Repair”
June 18th, 2008Via: Bloomberg:
Parts of Australia’s key Murray-Darling river food bowl may be beyond recovery unless a prolonged dry spell and political wrangling over water use ends by October, a leaked scientific report warned on Wednesday.
“There has been 10 years at least that people have said you have got to restore the environmental flows to the system if you wish to keep the natural assets. We have failed to do that,” University of Adelaide ecologist David Paton told local radio.
The Murray-Darling river basin, an area the size of France and Germany, produces 41 percent of Australia’s agriculture and provides $21 billion worth of agricultural exports to Asia and the Middle East, including rice, corn, grapes and dairy.
But the government wants to secure water supplies and repair ailing rivers with an A$13 billion ($12.2 billion), 10-year water plan topped by a A$3 billion deal to buy river water back from irrigators.
The centre-left Labor government of Prime Minister Kevin Rudd deferred consideration of a scientific report into the crisis facing the basin’s lower reaches until a ministerial meeting with state counterparts in November.
But Paton and other ecologists say much of the river system could be virtually dead by then, with vegetation on the lower Murray lost and fish species driven to extinction.
The lower Murray, where vast wetlands and lakes meet the sea, is an important region for horticulture, vegetable and pasture cropping, as well as dairy farming.
Environment Minister Peter Garrett said the government was aware the situation in the region was critical, but negotiations to better manage water flows were “tough and difficult”.
$1.3 Trillion in Writedowns; Only 1/3 of the Way Through Credit Crisis
June 18th, 2008Via: Bloomberg:
John Paulson, founder of the hedge fund company Paulson & Co., said global writedowns and losses from the credit crisis may reach $1.3 trillion, exceeding the International Monetary Fund’s $945 billion estimate.
“We’re only about a third of the way through the writedowns,” Paulson, 52, told the GAIM International hedge fund conference in Monaco today. “There are a lot of problems out there and it will continue to be felt through the year. We don’t see any signs of stabilizing.”
Paulson, whose New York-based company manages about $33 billion, made bets last year that subprime-mortgage debt would fall after he noticed “bubble like” prices. His Paulson Partners fund rose 18 percent a year since it started in 1994, and his main subprime-debt fund rose 591 percent last year. Banks and securities firm worldwide posted more than $395 billion in losses and writedowns since the subprime crisis started last year.
The U.S. is heading into a recession as falling home prices weigh on consumer spending, Paulson said. The second half of this year will be worse than the first as the economic slowdown spills into 2009. Signs of stress are “accelerating” in the housing market, and he’s betting on falling securities prices, he said.


