George Bush and White House Issued 935 False Statements About Iraq Following 9/11
January 23rd, 2008Via: news.com.au:
US President George W Bush and other top officials issued almost one thousand false statements about the national security threat from Iraq following the September 11 attacks, according to a study by two not-for-profit organisations.
The Associated Press reports the study, published on the website of the Centre for Public Integrity, concluded the statements “were part of an orchestrated campaign that effectively galvanised public opinion and, in the process, led the nation to war under decidedly false pretences”.
According to the study, 935 false statements were issued by the White House in the two years after the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks.
In speeches, briefings and interviews, President Bush and other officials stated “unequivocally” on at least 532 occasions that Iraq had links to al-Qaeda, or had weapons of mass destruction or was trying to get them.
“It is now beyond dispute that Iraq did not possess any weapons of mass destruction or have meaningful ties to al-Qaeda,” wrote the study’s authors Charles Lewis and Mark Reading-Smith.
“In short, the Bush administration led the nation to war on the basis of erroneous information that it methodically propagated and that culminated in military action against Iraq on March 19, 2003.”
The study found that President Bush alone made 259 false statements – 231 about weapons of mass destruction and 28 about Iraq’s links to al-Qaeda.
The other officials named in the study are vice president Dick Cheney, then-national security advisor Condoleezza Rice, then-defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld, then-secretary of state Colin Powell, deputy defence secretary Paul Wolfowitz and White House spokesmen Ari Fleischer and Scott McClellan.
“The cumulative effect of these false statements – amplified by thousands of news stories and broadcasts – was massive, with the media coverage creating an almost impenetrable din for several critical months in the run-up to war,” the study concluded.
“Some journalists – indeed, even some entire news organisations – have since acknowledged that their coverage during those pre-war months was far too deferential and uncritical. These mea culpas notwithstanding, much of the wall-to-wall media coverage provided additional ‘independent’ validation of the Bush administration’s false statements about Iraq.”
British Woman Prosecuted for Selling Vegetables Only by Pounds and Ounces
January 23rd, 2008Via: Wall Street Journal:
London’s East End is notorious for its criminals, from serial murderer Jack the Ripper to mobsters the Kray twins.
The latest candidate for this rogue’s gallery is Janet Devers, a 63-year-old woman who runs a vegetable stall at Ridley Road market. Her alleged crime: selling goods only by the pound and the ounce.
Ms. Devers, whose stall has been in the family for 60 years, faces 13 criminal charges stemming from not selling her produce by the kilogram and the gram. She stands accused of breaking a European Union-instigated rule that countries must use metric measures to standardize trade. The rest of Europe is metric.
But Brits drink their milk and beer by the pint. On the road they rack up miles. Imperial measurement “is what we know, how we are. Who’s to tell us to change?” said Scott Lomax, a fellow vegetable-stall owner.
Ms. Devers, who pleaded not guilty in a court appearance on Friday, is being lionized for her stand in Britain’s feisty tabloids. If convicted, she could be fined as much as $130,000.
“It’s disgusting,” said Ms. Devers of the charges. “We have knifings. We have killings,” she said. “And they’re taking me to court because I’m selling in pounds and ounces.”
And, equally illegally, in bowls. Ten of the counts against her relate to purveying produce, such as hot Scotch-bonnet peppers, by the bowl.
The United Kingdom wrote an exemption into its measurements law to meet the EU metric requirement in 2000, as Brussels allowed. It stated that traders must use metric weights, but they could use imperial measures as well. The problem is that Ms. Devers allegedly didn’t have metric prices on all of her produce when she was charged late last year, and two of her scales only measured in pounds and ounces.
California: Stunning Jump in Foreclosures
January 23rd, 2008Via: San Francisco Chronicle:
Foreclosures and default notices skyrocketed to record peaks in California and the Bay Area in the fourth quarter of 2007, according to a report released Tuesday. The information was a fresh reminder that the slumping real estate market is continuing to have a serious impact on homeowners, particularly those with risky subprime mortgages.
Lenders repossessed 31,676 residences in California in the October-November-December period, according to DataQuick Information Systems, a La Jolla research firm. That was a dramatic 421.2 percent increase from 6,078 in the year-ago quarter.
In the Bay Area, foreclosures rose an equally stunning 482.5 percent to 4,573 in the fourth quarter, compared with 785 a year ago. Contra Costa County, with 1,558 foreclosures, up 533.3 percent from a year ago, had the most, followed by Alameda County with 1,026 (a 514.4 percent increase) and Solano County with 704 (up 528.6 percent).
“Foreclosure activity is closely tied to a decline in home values,” DataQuick President Marshall Prentice said in a statement. “With today’s depreciation, an increasing number of homeowners find themselves owing more on a property than its market value, setting the stage for default if there is mortgage payment shock, a job loss or the owner needs to move.”
It was the most foreclosures since DataQuick began tracking them in 1988 and more than double the previous peak of 15,418 foreclosures in the third quarter of 1996. The fewest foreclosures recorded were in the second quarter of 2005, when 637 homes were repossessed.
Mortgage default notices, sent by lenders when homeowners are several months behind on payments, also hit record highs. Default notices are the first step of the foreclosure process.
Statewide, lenders sent 81,550 default notices, up 114.6 percent from 37,994 in the fourth quarter of 2006. It was up 12.4 percent from 72,571 in the third quarter of 2007. It was the most defaults since DataQuick began tracking them in 1992.
In the Bay Area, default notices were up 136.9 percent from a year ago, with 12,704 households receiving them. Year-to-year increases in default notices ranges from 84.4 percent in San Mateo County to 199.7 percent in Sonoma County. Contra Costa had the most notices by number, with 3,805, followed by Alameda with 2,573 and Santa Clara with 2,162.
Another gloomy statistic showed that default notices are increasingly more likely to turn into foreclosures. Homeowners can resolve defaults by catching up on their payments, refinancing or selling the house for what they owe. Only 41 percent of homeowners in default were able to pursue these solutions, DataQuick said, compared to 71 percent a year ago.
DataQuick said most of the loans that went into default in the quarter were originated beween August 2005 and August 2006, during the height of subprime loan frenzy.
“What Else Lurks Out There That Hasn’t Been Uncovered by Investigators?”
January 22nd, 2008Via: Forbes:
Regulators call it fraud for profit. Real estate insiders refer to it as scamming for cash. Lehman Brothers isn’t calling it anything at all–or saying anything about being swindled out of upward of $50 million.
The U.S. Attorney in Los Angeles says the scam was masterminded by developers Charles Elliot Fitzgerald and Mark Alan Abrams, with help from Joseph Aram Babajian, real estate broker to such stars as Warren Beatty, Ryan Seacrest and Harrison Ford. Five people have been indicted on multiple charges of fraud and conspiracy. Between 2000 and 2003 the defendants allegedly stole tens of millions of dollars by inflating the values of homes. According to the criminal complaint, they bought real estate at fair prices, had the properties appraised at far higher amounts, borrowed those greater sums from Lehman and pocketed the difference, using the money to fund extravagant lifestyles. Five people, developer Abrams among them, have pleaded guilty to multiple felonies and await sentencing after they testify against other defendants. Babajian (pronounced Baba-zhan) and Fitzgerald have entered not guilty pleas.
As the mortgage cyclone lurches from subprime loans and shaky securities to blue-chip customers and creditors, it is exposing scams that were hidden for years behind rising real estate prices. Fraud reports by banks jumped sixfold between 2000 and 2006, to 21,279, though the real number is probably far greater since only federally insured banks are required to report suspected foul play. The FBI says it is chasing mainly big-dollar investigations, but its load exceeded 1,200 cases last year. No one knows the size of this con game. The Mortgage Bankers Association, which represents some of the very folks under investigation, puts the value of mortgage fraud in 2007 at $3 billion to $4 billion. “It’s an extremely conservative estimate, and that’s just direct losses to banks,” says Ann Fulmer, a vice president at Interthinx, an Agoura Hills, Calif. fraud prevention consultancy. In such cases, she says, creditors typically lose 45% to 100% of the loan amounts.
EMERGENCY: GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS COLLAPSING
January 22nd, 2008WARNING: This is not a recommendation to buy sell or hold any financial instrument.
I’m going to call emergency here. I was waiting to see if Asia would get a foot hold today, but the slide is extending.
I hope Cryptogon readers have diversified well and are ready to face this situation.
We all knew it was coming.
There in an almost endless number of stories adding to the noise level right now. I’m going to focus on only the most critical information, such as disorderly trading/liquidity crises, currency controls, market halts, etc. I will be watching strategic technical levels on gold and EUR/USD.
Use this post as an open thread, if you like.
Good luck out there. Keep a clear head. Don’t panic.
AFTERWORD 1/23 02:20 GMT: Got DIA and PBW Call Options
I sent a limit order for some insanely out of the money Feb 2008 DIA call options, strike 133. There were no takers for my bid at .05. I left the order open. I woke up later to see that I got filled. HAHA. Same thing on some PBW calls, strike 29. Left bids in for .05, got them eventually. I don’t buy lotto tickets from the shop, but I will buy out of the money options on occasion.
I mean, how could it possibly go up? Right? With every media source saying we’re in recession and the world is ending, doom, etc… I mean, sure, maybe it is The End.
But, then again, maybe not. To quote Blade Runner, “I’ve seen things you people wouldn’t believe.”
So, if those DIA and PBW calls wind up being worth anything, let’s just say that I’ll be surprised, but not that surprised.
END UPDATES:
Thanks, guys. It’s been a pleasure calling the action with you. I’m exhausted and need some sleep.
UPDATE #15: 14:10 GMT: BANK OF AMERICA PROFITS DOWN 95%, WACHOVIA PROFITS DOWN 98%
Via: AP:
Bank of America Corp. said Tuesday its fourth-quarter earnings fell by 95 percent and Wachovia Corp. reported its earnings tumbled 98 percent, with both banks citing the lending crisis.
UPDATE #14: 13:35 GMT: FEDERAL RESERVE EMERGENCY RATE CUT: 3/4 OF A POINT
I love it when a plan comes together…
Via: Yahoo / AP:
The Federal Reserve, confronted with a global stock sell-off fanned by increased fears of a recession, cut a key interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point on Tuesday, the biggest one-day move by the central bank in recent memory.
The Fed said it was cutting the federal funds rate, the interest that banks charge each other on overnight loans, to 3.5 percent, down by three-fourths of a percentage point from 4.25 percent.
The Fed action was the most dramatic signal it can send that it is concerned about a potential recession in the United States. It marked the biggest one-day move by the central bank in recent memory.
The Fed decision was taken during an emergency telephone conference with Fed officials on Monday night. Those discussions occurred after global financial markets had plunged Monday as investors grew more concerned about the possibility that the United States, the world’s largest economy, could be headed into a recession.
In a brief statement, the Fed said it had decided to cut the federal funds rate “in view of a weakening of the economic outlook and increasing downside risks to growth.”
UPDATE #13 13:25 GMT: GOLD WEEEEEEEEEE!
Congrats to any of you who were nuts insightful enough to pull the trigger around UPDATE #9.
UPDATE #12: 13:00 GMT: U.S. Stock Futures Fall Sharply
The klaxons are blaring at Plunge Protection Team headquarters. Helicopter Ben is, right now, strapping himself in and getting ready to launch.
I’ll tell you right now: If the Dow actually goes down 500 points, I’ll be playing DIA call options lotto. No, that’s not a typo. I actually meant to write call options. I don’t recommend that any of you do this, because I’ll almost certainly lose a tiny bit of capital. But I have this thing about being upwind when the media starts a fire. When things look so totally obvious, and the mainstream media is in on it, I just go the other way.
So, if there’s a bloodbath out there, I will consider betting the other way. Catch a falling chainsaw. Tiny positions. Risk capital. Speculators only.
Via: AP:
Wall Street was expected to plunge at the opening of trading Tuesday, extending its huge losses from last week and taking more cues from heavy selling that has spread throughout the world. Indicators showed the Dow Jones industrial average was set to fall by more than 500 points when trading begins.
Fears of a recession in the United States that could pull down the global economy as well have infected markets around the world, and those declines further unnerved U.S. investors who were unable to trade Monday, when Wall Street was closed for Martin Luther King Jr. Day.
Dow futures fell 553, or 4.57 percent, to 11,553. Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures fell 67.20, or 5.07 percent, to 1,258.10. Nasdaq 100 index futures dropped 86.50, or 4.68 percent, to 1,763.00.
In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei stock average closed down 5.65 percent — its biggest percentage drop in nearly a decade. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index lost 8.65 percent a day after showing its biggest losses since the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.
UPDATE #11: 10:00 GMT: BUY PROGRAM
Europe turning slightly positive. HAHAHA. You’ve gotta love it. They’re trying a buy program now for sure. Germany lags, still down 2.6%.
UPDATE #10: 09:15 GMT: European Markets Down Slightly, Shaking Off Earlier Losses
Ok, did somebody finally got a grip on this thing? Wow, man, that was weird. All European markets were down pretty hard, as you would expect, but they just turned around. European version of the PPT?
Declines very moderate right now.
UPDATE #9: 09:00 GMT: Gold 1 Hour Hammer
Believe it or not. Got my MACD cross, too. Here goes nuthin’.
Definition of Hammer, Japanese Candlestick formation.
UPDATE #8: 08:30 GMT: GOLD INTRADAY BREACH OF $850, THEN BOUNCE
It’s trying to bounce.
If you’re going to play catch a falling knife chainsaw, this is where you would extend your arms.
Personally, I’m holding off. One hour MACD still hasn’t crossed up.
UPDATE #7: 08:05 GMT: GOLD MAKE OR BREAK $850 SUPPORT
Make or break. This is the big one.
UPDATE #6 08:00 GMT: Dollar Rally Continuing, Gold to Try Support at $850
Guys, at times like this, all you can do is go with the charts. I’m looking for an excuse to buy gold in here (see Update #1), but it’s weak. Damn weak. $850 is a big deal and we’re going to test that in the next few minutes.
UPDATE #5: 05:20 GMT: INDIA AND KOREA TRADE HALTED
Via: AFP:
THE Indian and South Korean stock exchanges today suspended trading after their indices suffered sharp falls.
Mumbai’s main share index fell 9.75 per cent when it opened this morning, triggering an automatic one-hour halt in trading, the Bombay Stock Exchange said.
The benchmark 30-share Sensex index halted trading at 15,888.64, down 1716.71 points. The index had closed down 7.41 per cent on Monday, recording the steepest one-day fall ever, and the day that it also became the hardest hit Asian market.
South Korea’s stock market in Seoul also briefly suspended trading today as the benchmark KOSPI index dropped more than 6 per cent, dealers said.
Trading resumed at 1.30pm in Seoul (0430 GMT) following a five-minute break. Six minutes later, the index was down 6.23 per cent (104.87 points) at 1578.69.
The KOSPI is now more than 23 per cent below its November peak.
UPDATE #4: 05:00 GMT: Asia Pacific Markets Currently Down More than 5%
Downward momentum pouring on.
Australia All Ordinaries: -6.65%
China Hang Seng: -8.04%
India Bombay Stock Exchange: -9.75%
Indonesia Jakarta Composite: -9.24%
Japan Nikkei: -5.03%
Korea Seoul Composite: -5.27%
Taiwan Weighted: -6.43%
UPDATE #3: 04:00 GMT: Asia Pacific Markets Currently Down More than 5%
Remember this is just today (doesn’t include yesterdays collapse).
Australia All Ordinaries: -5.52%
China Hang Seng: -6.03%
Indonesia Jakarta Composite: -7.58%
Taiwan Weighted: -6.43%
UPDATE #2 03:25 GMT: EUR/USD
Hourly MACD cross up on EUR/USD. All intraday stochastics extreme (under 20 or under 10). Near term low 1.4400. Next support is a daily at 1.4331. Lots of resistance overhead.
The U.S. Dollar has been rallying as traders are exiting stocks and going to cash. That’s the only reason I can see for the bump up on USD. I am using this window of temporary strength to take cash out of the U.S. and buy gold.
UPDATE #1 03:20 GMT: Gold Breakdown, for Speculators Only
I’m going to buy any MACD cross up on the hourly interval, above $850. My stop is $844.
Black Monday as Biggest FTSE Crash Since 9/11 Wipes Off Nearly £60 Billion in Share Value
January 21st, 2008Via: This is London:
The stock market was in meltdown today as nearly £60billion was wiped off London shares.
A combination of poor economic figures and the worsening global credit crunch sent the FTSE 100 plunging.
At one stage the drop was the biggest since 9/11 in 2001, although the index of Britain’s biggest companies later clawed back some of the losses. At lunchtime the Footsie was down 250.1 points to 5647.8.
That means the FTSE 100 has now fallen by around 10 per cent in the last 10 days, by around 15 per cent over the last month and is well on the way to being off 20 per cent since its most recent high of 6754 in July – before the world’s banking system was sent spiralling.
It is also the worst start to the year for the stock market since records began in 1936. “I smell the acrid stench of fear and uncertainty,” said markets commentator David Buik of BGC Partners. European markets also tumbled.
Israel Is Set to Promote the Use of Electric Cars
January 21st, 2008Imagine my shock.
Via: New York Times:
Israel, tiny and bereft of oil, has decided to embrace the electric car.
On Monday, the Israeli government will announce its support for a broad effort to promote the use of electric cars, embracing a joint venture between an American-Israeli entrepreneur and Renault and its partner, Nissan Motor Company.
Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, with the active support of President Shimon Peres, intends to make Israel a laboratory to test the practicality of an environmentally clean electric car. The state will offer tax incentives to purchasers, and the new company, with a $200 million investment to start, will begin construction of facilities to recharge the cars and replace empty batteries quickly.
The idea, said Shai Agassi, 39, the software entrepreneur behind the new company, is to sell electric car transportation on the model of the cellphone. Purchasers get subsidized hardware — the car — and pay a monthly fee for expected mileage, like minutes on a cellphone plan, eliminating concerns about the fluctuating price of gasoline.
Mr. Agassi and his investors are convinced that the cost of running such a car will be significantly cheaper than a model using gasoline (currently $6.28 a gallon here.)
“With $100 a barrel oil, we’ve crossed a historic threshold where electricity and batteries provide a cheaper alternative for consumers,” Mr. Agassi said. “You buy a car to go an infinite distance, and we need to create the same feeling for an electric car — that you can fill it up when you stop or sleep and go an infinite distance.”
Mr. Agassi’s company, Project Better Place of Palo Alto, Calif., will provide the lithium-ion batteries, which will be able to go 124 miles per charge, and the infrastructure necessary to keep the cars going — whether parking meter-like plugs on city streets or service stations along highways, where, in a structure like a car wash, exhausted batteries will be removed and fresh ones inserted.
Renault and Nissan will provide the cars. The chairman of both companies, Carlos Ghosn, is scheduled to attend the announcements on Monday. Other companies are developing electric cars, like the Tesla and Chevrolet Volt, but the project here is a major step for Renault, which clearly believes that there is a commercial future in electric cars.
Israel, where the round-trip commute between Tel Aviv and Jerusalem is only 75 miles, is considered a good place to test the idea, which Mr. Agassi, Renault and Nissan hope to copy in small countries like Denmark and crowded cities like London, Paris, Singapore and New York. London, which has a congestion area tax for cars, lets electric cars enter downtown and park free.
GERMANY: DAX DOWN 7%
January 21st, 2008It’s a global sell off, but Germany is down over 7% at the moment, according to the blinking numbers on my screen…
You might recall that I focussed specifically on Germany in my New Year’s piece about 2008:
Think of the longer term effects on European economies of the dollar collapse and Americans becoming unable to purchase goods from Europe. Germany is the most vulnerable. The U.S. is Germany’s second-largest trading partner and the U.S. runs huge bilateral trade deficits with Germany. (See: U.S. State Department.)
The largest German firms have expertly used hedging strategies in the Forex markets to mitigate the effects of dollar declines in the past. Smaller exporters, though, could be facing a very hard year. The U.S. and Germany have tied ropes around each other. If the U.S. slips off the cliff, Germany will go with it.
Now, I could have written a similar analysis about lots of other countries and their relationship to the U.S. (New Zealand, in particular), but Germany is the economic powerhouse in Europe. This is a key bilateral relationship to watch.
Via: AP / Yahoo:
Asian and European stock markets plunged Monday following declines on Wall Street last week amid investor pessimism over the U.S. government’s stimulus plan to prevent a recession.
India’s benchmark stock index tumbled 7.4 percent, while Hong Kong’s blue-chip Hang Seng index plummeted 5.5 percent to 23,818.86, its biggest percentage drop since the Sept. 11, 2001, terror attacks.
Investors dumped shares because they were skeptical that an economic stimulus plan President Bush announced Friday would shore up the economy, which has been battered by housing and credit problems. The plan, which requires approval by Congress, calls for about $145 billion worth of tax relief to encourage consumer spending.
Concerns about the outlook for the U.S. economy, a major export market for Asian companies, has sent the region’s markets sliding in 2008. Just last Wednesday, the Hang Seng index sank 5.4 percent.
“It’s another horrible day,” said Francis Lun, a general manager at Fulbright Securities in Hong Kong. “Today it’s because of disappointment that the U.S. stimulus (package) is too little, too late and investors feel it won’t help the economy recover.”
Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 index slid 3.9 percent to 13,325.94 points, its lowest close in more than 2 years. China’s Shanghai Composite index plunged 5.1 percent.
The sell-off continued in Europe. Germany’s DAX was down 4.2 percent in morning trading, France’s CAC 40 slid 4.7 percent, while Britain’s FTSE 100 dropped 3.6 percent.
Is This the End of Cheap Food?
January 21st, 2008Via: Guardian:
‘It’s going to be interesting,’ says James Walton, chief economist with the food retail industry’s education body, IDG. ‘UK shoppers aged under 50 have so far never experienced food-price inflation.’ Essentially, throughout most Britons’ lifetimes, food has become cheaper. But, in December, the inflation rate (by the government’s preferred consumer price index, the CPI) was 2.1 per cent, while for all foods it was 5.9 per cent. ‘Habits will change, although it’s unlikely we’re going to see Soviet-style queues at empty shelves.’
Costly Fuel Means Costly Calories
January 21st, 2008Mainstream media playing catch up…
Via: New York Times:
Rising prices for cooking oil are forcing residents of Asia’s largest slum, in Mumbai, India, to ration every drop. Bakeries in the United States are fretting over higher shortening costs. And here in Malaysia, brand-new factories built to convert vegetable oil into diesel sit idle, their owners unable to afford the raw material.
This is the other oil shock. From India to Indiana, shortages and soaring prices for palm oil, soybean oil and many other types of vegetable oils are the latest, most striking example of a developing global problem: costly food.
The food price index of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, based on export prices for 60 internationally traded foodstuffs, climbed 37 percent last year. That was on top of a 14 percent increase in 2006, and the trend has accelerated this winter.
In some poor countries, desperation is taking hold. Just in the last week, protests have erupted in Pakistan over wheat shortages, and in Indonesia over soybean shortages. Egypt has banned rice exports to keep food at home, and China has put price controls on cooking oil, grain, meat, milk and eggs.
According to the F.A.O., food riots have erupted in recent months in Guinea, Mauritania, Mexico, Morocco, Senegal, Uzbekistan and Yemen.
“The urban poor, the rural landless and small and marginal farmers stand to lose,” said He Changchui, the agency’s chief representative for Asia and the Pacific.
A startling change is unfolding in the world’s food markets. Soaring fuel prices have altered the equation for growing food and transporting it across the globe. Huge demand for biofuels has created tension between using land to produce fuel and using it for food.
A growing middle class in the developing world is demanding more protein, from pork and hamburgers to chicken and ice cream. And all this is happening even as global climate change may be starting to make it harder to grow food in some of the places best equipped to do so, like Australia.
In the last few years, world demand for crops and meat has been rising sharply. It remains an open question how and when the supply will catch up. For the foreseeable future, that probably means higher prices at the grocery store and fatter paychecks for farmers of major crops like corn, wheat and soybeans.
There may be worse inflation to come. Food experts say steep increases in commodity prices have not fully made their way to street stalls in the developing world or supermarkets in the West.
Governments in many poor countries have tried to respond by stepping up food subsidies, imposing or tightening price controls, restricting exports and cutting food import duties.
These temporary measures are already breaking down.


