U.S. SAVINGS RATE AT LEVEL SIMILAR TO GREAT DEPRESSION

February 2nd, 2007

Via: Houston Chronicle / AP:

People are saving at the lowest level since the Great Depression, and that could be a problem for the millions of baby boomers getting ready to retire.

In fact, the Commerce Department reported Thursday that the nation’s personal savings rate for all of 2006 was a negative 1 percent, the worst showing in 73 years.

The negative rate means people are spending all of the money they have left after paying taxes — and then some. They are dipping into savings or increasing their borrowing to finance current spending.

…

The 1 percent negative savings rate in 2006 followed a 0.4 percent negative rate in 2005. There have been only four years in history that the savings rate has fallen into negative territory. The other two were 1932 and 1933 during the Great Depression. During the Depression, when as many as one in four people were out of work, households were exhausting savings in order to pay the rent and buy food.


Downing Street Looking Increasingly Like a Crime Scene

February 2nd, 2007

Blair should be prosecuted for war crimes.

Via: Daily Mail:

Tony Blair’s premiership was on the verge of complete paralysis on Thursday night after it emerged that he was interviewed a second time in secret by police investigating the cash for honours scandal.

Detectives questioned the Prime Minister for nearly an hour in Downing Street over claims that key aides tried to cover-up the affair.

n an extraordinary twist, the meeting last Friday was kept under wraps at the request of Scotland Yard until Thursday.

The news sent a fresh shockwave through the Government and the party, and left ministers in despair at what they say is a growing disaster that could destroy Labour.

With Downing Street looking increasingly like a crime scene and less like a seat of government, senior figures painted a devastating portrait of a discredited administration that is falling apart by the day.


Matt Simmons: Peaked Oil

February 2nd, 2007

Via: The Oil Drum:

Related: Energy Scarcity vs. Cost of the War in Iraq


SURGE: UP TO 48,000 TROOPS; COSTS GROSSLY UNDERESTIMATED

February 2nd, 2007

It’s about Iran now. The situation in Iraq is being used as a cover for what’s about to happen in Iran. By the time people figure it out, they’re going to be looking at the next “terrorist” atrocity on CNN.

Via: Defense Tech:

President Bush and his new military chiefs have been saying for nearly a month that they would “surge” an additional 21,500 troops to Iraq, in a last, grand push to quell the violence in Baghdad and in Anbar Province. But a new study by the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office says the real troop increase could be as high as 48,000 — more than double the number the President initially said.

That’s because the combat units that President Bush wants to send into hostile areas need to be backed up by support troops, “including personnel to staff headquarters, serve as military police, and provide communications, contracting, engineering, intelligence, medical, and other services,” the CBO notes.

…

According to the study, the costs for the “surge” would also be dramatically different than the President has said. The White House estimated a troop escalation would require about $5.6 billion in additional funding for the rest of fiscal year 2007. Of that, about $3.2 billion was supposed to go to the Army and Marines for their escalated activity.

But that figure appears to have been grossly underestimated. The CBO now believes “that costs would range from $9 billion to $13 billion for a four-month deployment and from $20 billion to $27 billion for a 12-month deployment.”


U.S. CAUTIONS EUROPEANS TO AVOID OIL, GAS DEALS WITH IRAN

February 2nd, 2007

I should probably start work on a prepared statement to post once this thing finally goes off the rails. It might be hard to put coherent sentences together after witnessing what is about to happen.

Via: Washington Post:

The Bush administration is warning European oil and gas companies against investing in Iran, trying to head off a push by Tehran to attract new investment by international petroleum giants.

In the past two weeks, the administration has met with European oil company executives about the Middle East, and during one session a senior State Department official cautioned that the situation with Iran was “hot and is going to get hotter,” one executive said.

An executive from another major European company said, “The administration is putting the full-court press on foreign companies and is going all out to impress upon them that it would be a mistake to do anything with” Iran.

Despite the administration’s pressure, however, many of the world’s biggest oil companies were expected to attend a meeting in Vienna today and tomorrow held by National Iranian Oil Co. to drum up interest in 12 onshore and five offshore blocks. Executives from Royal Dutch Shell PLC, Russia’s Lukoil, China’s Sinopec International Petroleum Exploration and Production Corp. and Austria’s OMV will give presentations.


ORANGE SNOW FALLS IN SIBERIA

February 2nd, 2007

Via: The Age:

Russia’s emergency situations ministry said today it was dispatching experts to a Siberian province to find out why yellow and orange snow has been falling in several villages, the ITAR-TASS news agency reported.

“A chemical test unit will be sent to Omsk … it’s main task will be to investigate pollution in the region and establish the degree of danger represented by the anomalous snow fall,” the agency quoted an unnamed official from the ministry as saying.

Snow ranging in colour from light yellow to orange and carrying a distinctive “musty” odour was observed yesterday in five districts of Omsk province, which lies in western Siberia and borders Kazakhstan, ITAR-TASS said.

“Residents are advised not to use snow for their household or technical needs and to limit walking, either by people or their pets, in this area,” the official said.


From the Wonderful Folks Who Brought You Iraq

February 2nd, 2007

This is a long but excellent article. It takes you inside the pathological decision making process that has brought us to this point. While it doesn’t give me much hope that the military will stop this, it confirms my analysis that this diabolical regime is not even considering alternatives to war with Iran.

I forgot, I already gave up on hope.

Via: Vanity Fair:

…Waging war against Iran could be the most catastrophic choice of all. It is widely believed that Iran would respond to an attack by blockading the Strait of Hormuz, a 20-mile-wide narrows in the eastern part of the Persian Gulf through which about 40 percent of the world’s oil exports are transported. Oil analysts say a blockade could propel the price of oil to $125 a barrel, sending the world economy into a tailspin. There could be vast international oil wars. Iran could act on its fierce rhetoric against Israel.

America’s 130,000 soldiers in Iraq would also become highly vulnerable in the event of an attack on Iran. “Our troops in Iraq are supplied with food, fuel, and ammunition by truck convoys from a supply base in Kuwait,” says Lang. “Most of that goes over roads that pass through the Shiite-dominated South of Iraq. The Iranians could cut those supply lines just like that—the trucks are easy to shoot at with R.P.G.’s,” or rocket-propelled grenades.

In hopes of avoiding that, the Iraq Study Group advised Bush to open direct talks with Iran. Members of both parties in Congress have publicly given similar advice, as have former secretary of state Colin Powell and Robert Gates, the new secretary of defense. Still, it would be naïve to think that either a wall of opposition or the possibility of dire consequences would necessarily deter this president. Even before his January 10 speech, many inside the military had concluded that the decision to bomb Iran has already been made. “Bush’s ‘redline’ for going to war is Iran having the knowledge to produce nuclear weapons—which is probably what they already have now,” says Sam Gardiner, a retired air-force colonel who specializes in staging war games on the Middle East. “The president first said [that was his redline] in December 2005, and he has repeated it four times since then.”

In April, Seymour Hersh reported in The New Yorker that U.S. troops were already on the ground in Iran, negotiating alliances with the Azerbaijanis in the North, the Kurds in the Northeast, and the Baluchis in the Southeast. In September, Time reported that a U.S. campaign to wipe out Iran’s nuclear program could entail bombing up to 1,500 targets. More recently, Paul Craig Roberts, a former assistant secretary of the Treasury under Ronald Reagan, asserted in the Baltimore Chronicle that Bush “will attack Iran with tactical nuclear weapons, because it is the only way the neocons believe they can rescue their goal of U.S. (and Israeli) hegemony in the Middle East.” Adds former C.I.A. officer Philip Giraldi, “I’ve heard from sources at the Pentagon that their impression is that the White House has made a decision that war is going to happen.”

According to Sam Gardiner, the most telling sign that a decision to bomb has already been made was the October deployment order of minesweepers to the Persian Gulf, presumably to counter any attempt by Iran to blockade the Strait of Hormuz. “These have to be towed to the Gulf,” Gardiner explains. “They are really small ships, the size of cabin cruisers, made of fiberglass and wood. And towing them to the Gulf can take three to four weeks.”

Another serious development is the growing role of the U.S. Strategic Command (StratCom), which oversees nuclear weapons, missile defense, and protection against weapons of mass destruction. Bush has directed StratCom to draw up plans for a massive strike against Iran, at a time when CentCom has had its hands full overseeing operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. “Shifting to StratCom indicates that they are talking about a really punishing air-force and naval air attack [on Iran],” says Lang.

Moreover, he continues, Bush can count on the military to carry out such a mission even without congressional authorization. “If they write a plan like that and the president issues an execute order, the forces will execute it. He’s got the power to do that as commander-in-chief. We set that up during the Cold War. It may, after the fact, be considered illegal, or an impeachable offense, but if he orders them to do it, they will do it.”

Lang also notes that the recent appointment of a naval officer, Admiral William Fallon, to the top post at CentCom may be another indication that Bush intends to bomb Iran. “It makes very little sense that a person with this background should be appointed to be theater commander in a theater in which two essentially ‘ground’ wars are being fought, unless it is intended to conduct yet another war which will be different in character,” he wrote in his blog. “The employment of Admiral Fallon suggests that they are thinking about something that is not a ground campaign.”

Lang predicts that tensions will escalate once the administration grasps the truth about Prime Minister Maliki. “They want him to be George Washington, to bind together the new country of Iraq,” says Lang. “And he’s not that. He is a Shia, a factional political leader, whose goal is to solidify the position of Shia Arabs in Iraq. That’s his goal. So he won’t let them do anything effective against [Muqtada al-Sadr’s] Mahdi army.” Recently, a complicated cat-and-mouse game has begun, with Maliki’s forces arresting hundreds of Mahdi militiamen, including a key aide to Muqtada al-Sadr. But there are many unanswered questions about the operations, which could amount to little more than a short-term effort to appease the U.S.

Gary Sick is slightly more optimistic that the Bush administration’s Iran strategy entails more than brute force. “What has happened is that the United States, in installing a Shiite government in Iraq, has really upset the balance of power [in the Middle East],” Sick says. “Along with our Sunni allies—Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Egypt—[the administration is] terribly concerned about Iran emerging as the new colossus. Having created this problem, the U.S. is now in effect using it as a means of uniting forces who are sympathetic [to us].”

In order to do that, Sick says, the administration must reassure America’s allies that it is serious about protecting them if the conflict spreads throughout the region—drawing in Shiite Iran, Sunni Saudi Arabia, and Turkey, which would resist any attempt by the Kurds to create an independent state. “That means providing Patriot missiles, if Iran goes after the Saudi oil ports,” he says. “One of the prices we will have to pay is a more active role in the Arab-Israeli dispute. Then there is fighting Hezbollah in Lebanon. The president has signed a covert-action finding that allows the C.I.A. to confront and counter Hezbollah in Lebanon. So this is a very broad strategy. It has a clear enemy and an appeal to Saudis, to Israelis, and has a potential of putting together a fairly significant coalition.”

For all that, Sick acknowledges, this policy carries a significant risk of provoking war with Iran: “Basically, this is a signal to Maliki that we are not going to tolerate Shiite cooperation with Iran. This could lead to the ultimate break with Maliki. But once you start sending these signals, you end up in a corner and you can’t get out of it.”

Whatever the administration’s master plan may be, parts of it are already under way. In mid-January, the U.S. sent a second aircraft-carrier strike group to the Persian Gulf. According to Gardiner, by the end of February the United States will have enough forces in place to mount an assault on Iran. That, in the words of former national-security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski, would be “an act of political folly” so severe that “the era of American preponderance could come to a premature end.”

The Bush White House has already built the fire. Whether it will light the match remains to be seen.


Bush Violation of FISA Law a Felony

February 2nd, 2007

I’m sick of all of the bullshit talk about “the law” and this regime. We’re WAY beyond “the law” now, and any possible remedies it affords us.

Since when did tyrants start paying attention to any laws but their own psychotic whims?

Lots of smart people flapping their gums and tickling their keyboards re: “the law” don’t seem to have much of a grasp on the history of tyranny.

Part of what makes Cryptogon interesting to people is how I seem to be weeks, months or years ahead of events. Want to know a secret? I’m able to do it because none of this is new. It has all happened before. It’s not difficult to see where we’re going when you know where we’ve been.

And this is what I know about tyrannical regimes: They don’t back down because of laws. They create an internal logic that drives policy, while excluding contrary perspectives. In other words, there are no alternatives, for them, because they don’t cognitively allow for the possibility of alternatives.

The latest iteration of this familiar scenario will involve mushroom clouds unless drastic and heroic action is taken right now.

Indeed, the chances of America altering course are slim to none. And the slim part of that grim equation would involve another military coup (I count JFK’s assassination as the most recent military coup in the U.S. The one before that failed initially). No, I’m not talking about a bunch of overweight Bubbas with their pickup trucks and militia patches massing at the local Dairy Queen. I mean an honest to god coup d’état, with a U.S. general showing up to the White House along with a bunch of guys in ninja outfits and Apache gunships, announcing to everyone inside, “COME OUT WITH YOUR HANDS IN THE AIR.” Navy SEAL teams taking over the aircraft carriers in or on their way to the Persian Gulf… The Air Force making sure China and Russia don’t get any funny ideas while America cleans house…

Now, once that ball starts rolling, there’s no way to know where it will wind up. It’s a gamble. Things could get better. Things could get worse. What’s for sure, though, is that this regime represents a clear and present danger to everyone, everywhere. What’s for sure is that there’s no way to alter the course of this regime within the political system.

THE WAR WITH IRAN MUST BE STOPPED BY ANY MEANS NECESSARY.

Where does that leave us?

The full weight of this burden now rests squarely on the shoulders of the men and women of the U.S. military. Attempt to save America and the world from the diabolical lunatics who have subverted power, or parish in oblivion with the rest of us: Those are the options that every member of the U.S. armed forces must now consider.

I can hear the collective * gasp * going up from many of you. I know you don’t like this kind of talk. You’re nuts if you think I do. But if this thing goes down with Iran, there’s a VERY good chance that you, me and a millions of other people are going to die in the immediate and follow-on effects of a nuclear war. For those of you who pride yourselves on holding hands in a circle and proudly wearing your Birkenstocks, does that compute?

We are in deep, deep shit. All of us. Nobody wants to admit this less than me, but either the U.S. military cleans house, now, or we’re dead.

Via: New York Times:

LAST August, a federal judge found that the president of the United States broke the law, committed a serious felony and violated the Constitution. Had the president been an ordinary citizen — someone charged with bank robbery or income tax evasion — the wheels of justice would have immediately begun to turn. The F.B.I. would have conducted an investigation, a United States attorney’s office would have impaneled a grand jury and charges would have been brought.

But under the Bush Justice Department, no F.B.I. agents were ever dispatched to padlock White House files or knock on doors and no federal prosecutors ever opened a case.

The ruling was the result of a suit, in which I am one of the plaintiffs, brought against the National Security Agency by the American Civil Liberties Union. It was a response to revelations by this newspaper in December 2005 that the agency had been monitoring the phone calls and e-mail messages of Americans for more than four years without first obtaining warrants from the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court, as required by the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act.

In the past, even presidents were not above the law. When the F.B.I. turned up evidence during Watergate that Richard Nixon had obstructed justice by trying to cover up his involvement, a special prosecutor was named and a House committee recommended that the president be impeached.

And when an independent counsel found evidence that President Bill Clinton had committed perjury in the Monica Lewinsky case, the impeachment machinery again cranked into gear, with the spectacle of a Senate trial (which ended in acquittal).

Laws are broken, the federal government investigates, and the individuals involved — even if they’re presidents — are tried and, if found guilty, punished. That is the way it is supposed to work under our system of government. But not this time.

Last Aug. 17, Judge Anna Diggs Taylor of the United States District Court in Detroit issued her ruling in the A.C.L.U. case. The president, she wrote, had “undisputedly violated” not only the First and Fourth Amendments of the Constitution, but also statutory law, the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act. Enacted by a bipartisan Congress in 1978, the FISA statute was a response to revelations that the National Security Agency had conducted warrantless eavesdropping on Americans. To deter future administrations from similar actions, the law made a violation a felony punishable by a $10,000 fine and five years in prison.


Chinese Army ‘Harvesting Body Parts’

February 1st, 2007

Old news that won’t go away…

In any event, wave that plastic Made in China American flag proudly!

Via: news.co.au:

CHINA’S military is harvesting organs from unwilling live prison inmates, mostly Falungong practitioners, for transplants on a large scale – including to foreign recipients- according to a study.

The report’s authors – Canada’s former secretary of state for the Asia Pacific region David Kilgour and human rights lawyer David Matas – implicated dozens of hospitals and jails throughout China in July, after a two-month investigation.

Chinese officials denied those allegations.

Mr Matas and Mr Kilgour’s second report, released today, includes interviews with organ recipients in 30 countries and Canadian hospital staff who cared for more than 100 patients who had undergone suspicious transplant surgeries in China.

“The involvement of the People’s Liberation Army in these transplants is widespread,” Mr Kilgour said at a press conference.

Like many civilian hospitals in rural China, military hospitals turned to selling organs to make up for government funding cuts in the 1980s, the report said.

But military personnel could operate with much more secrecy, it said.

“Recipients often tell us that even when they receive transplants at civilian hospitals, those conducting the operation are military personnel,” the report said.


Woman Becomes Quadruple Amputee After Giving Birth

February 1st, 2007

Via: wftv.com:

A Sanford mother says she will never be able to hold her newborn because an Orlando hospital performed a life-altering surgery and, she claims, the hospital refuses to explain why they left her as a multiple amputee.

The woman filed a complaint against Orlando Regional Healthcare Systems, she said, because they won’t tell her exactly what happened. The hospital maintains the woman wants to know information that would violate other patients’ rights.

Claudia Mejia gave birth eight and a half months ago at Orlando Regional South Seminole. She was transported to Orlando Regional Medical Center in Orlando where her arms and legs were amputated. She was told she had streptococcus, a flesh eating bacteria, and toxic shock syndrome, but no further explanation was given.

The hospital, in a letter, wrote that if she wanted to find out exactly what happened, she would have to sue them.

Research Credit: MT


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