Cornell Precognition Experiment

November 7th, 2010

From the Cryptogon Backchannel.

Via: H+ Magazine:

According to today’s conventional scientific wisdom, time flows strictly forward — from the past to the future through the present. We can remember the past, and we can predict the future based on the past (albeit imperfectly) — but we can’t perceive the future.

But if the recent data from the lab of Prof. Daryl Bem at Cornell University is correct, conventional scientific wisdom may need some corrections on this particular point.

In a research paper titled Feeling the Future, recently accepted for publication in the prestigious Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, Bem presents some rather compelling empirical evidence that in some cases — and with weak but highly statistically significant accuracy – many human beings can directly perceive the future. Not just predict it based on the past.

A pre-publication copy of Bem’s paper is available on his website, and it should appear on the journal’s website shortly. The article is already attracting considerable attention, including a piece in Psychology Today. Also, Bem reports that he has already received hundreds of requests for “replication packages” — documentation and software allowing others to repeat the experiments he did. If you want to try to replicate the work yourself, replication packages for some of the experiments are already available at http://dbem.ws/psistuff.

If Bem’s results are indeed replicated, this will shock some scientists, but many others will say “I told you so.”

…

And what were the results?

1. “Across all 100 sessions, participants correctly identified the future position of the erotic pictures significantly more frequently than the 50% hit rate expected by chance: 53.1%.” (which is highly statistically significant given the number of trials involved, according to the calculations shown in the paper)
2. “In contrast, their hit rate on the non-erotic pictures did not differ significantly from chance: 49.8. This was true across all types of non-erotic pictures: neutral pictures, 49.6%; negative pictures, 51.3%; positive pictures, 49.4%; and romantic but non-erotic pictures, 50.2%.”

In other words the hypotheses made in advance of the experiment were solidly confirmed. The experiment yielded highly statistically significant evidence for psychic precognition. Much more than would be expected at random, given the number of subjects involved, the Cornell students were able to perceive the erotic stimuli from the future — but not, in this context, the non-erotic ones.

Research Credit: AF


Financial Manager May Not Face Felony Charges for a Hit-and-Run Because it Could Jeopardize His Job

November 6th, 2010

Via: Vail Daily:

A financial manager for wealthy clients will not face felony charges for a hit-and-run because it could jeopardize his job, prosecutors said Thursday.

Martin Joel Erzinger, 52, faces two misdemeanor traffic charges stemming from a July 3 incident when he allegedly hit bicyclist Dr. Steven Milo from behind then sped away, according to court documents.

Milo and his attorney, Harold Haddon, are livid about the prosecution’s decision to drop the felony charge. They filed their objection Wednesday afternoon, the day after prosecutors notified Haddon’s office by fax of their decision.

Haddon and Milo say this is a victim’s rights case, that Erzinger’s alleged actions constituted a felony, and that one day is not enough notice.

Research Credit: dilinger, ltcolonelnemo


Man in Disguise Boards International Flight

November 5th, 2010

What do you make of this one?

Definitely click through to see the picture.

Via: CNN:

Canadian authorities are investigating an “unbelievable” incident in which a passenger boarded an Air Canada flight disguised as an elderly man, according to a confidential alert obtained by CNN.

The incident occurred on October 29 on Air Canada flight AC018 to Vancouver originating in Hong Kong. An intelligence alert from the Canada Border Services Agency describes the incident as an “unbelievable case of concealment.”

“Information was received from Air Canada Corporate Security regarding a possible imposter on a flight originating from Hong Kong,” the alert says. “The passenger in question was observed at the beginning of the flight to be an elderly Caucasian male who appeared to have young looking hands. During the flight the subject attended the washroom and emerged an Asian looking male that appeared to be in his early 20s.”

After landing in Canada, Border Services Officers (BSOs) escorted the man off the plane where he “proceeded to make a claim for refugee protection,” the alert says.

“The subject initially claimed to be in possession of one bag; however, flight crew approached the BSOs with two additional pieces of luggage which were believed to belong to the subject. One bag contained the subject’s personal clothing items while the second contained a pair of gloves. The third contained a ‘disguise kit’ which consisted of a silicone type head and neck mask of an elderly Caucasian male, a brown leather cap, glasses and a thin brown cardigan.”

The man put on the disguise for the officers who “noted he very much resembled an elderly Caucasian man, complete with mimicking the movements of an elderly person. The subject admitted at this time that he had boarded the flight with the mask on and had removed it several hours later,” according to the alert.

“We can confirm that officials from the CBSA met a passenger arriving off AC018 Hong Kong to Vancouver on October 29 and the matter is still under investigation,” said Air Canada spokesman Peter Fitzpatrick, who noted that “there are multiple identity checks before departure at the Hong Kong international airport, including Chinese government-run Hong Kong passport control, which Hong Kong originating passengers must undergo.”

Hong Kong officials said they are aware of the incident and would call back with more information later.

Jennifer Bourque, regional communications officer for the CBSA, confirmed that “we intercepted an individual, on October 29, attempting to enter Canada under false pretenses on-board an Air Canada flight.”

“CBSA can confirm that the foreign national is currently in CBSA detention,” she said. “The individual will present before an IRB hearing. The officials of the CBSA will not disclose further information on this file.”

Because of Privacy Act regulations, she said, she cannot provide details about specific cases.

“However, I can tell you that CBSA officers examine all passengers arriving on international flights at Vancouver International Airport,” she said. “CBSA works closely with air carriers and local, national and international law enforcement partners, to ensure the safety of our borders and our communities. Getting the right information at the right time is a key element in keeping Canada’s border closed to safety and security threats.”

The agency would not discuss when or why the man put on the disguise or details about how he boarded the plane. But the alert indicated that the suspect boarded the plane with a board pass belonging to another passenger.

“It is believed that the subject and the actual United States Citizen passenger (whose date of birth is 1955) performed a boarding pass swap, with the subject using an Aeroplan card as identification to board the flight,” the alert said.

Aeroplan is a credit card where card holders can earn frequent flyer miles.


Oil Could Be On Brink Of Terrifying Move Higher

November 5th, 2010

Warning: This is not a recommendation to buy sell or hold any financial instrument.

A bit over a week ago, I wrote, “Either that USDX support I’ve been mentioning holds, or we could see oil back over $100 in a few weeks.”

That support is, as of now, fully breached to the downside. And you know about the inverse relationship between oil and the dollar: Dollar lower, oil higher.

If it breaks above the horizontal resistance line indicated…

This is the most frightening chart I’ve posted in a couple of years.

West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil, Monthly Interval

West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil, Monthly Interval


In U.S., 14% Rely on Food Stamps

November 5th, 2010

Via: Wall Street Journal:

A huge number of American households are still relying on government assistance to buy food as the recession continues to batter families.

Food stamp recipients ticked up in August, children consumed millions of free lunches and nearly five million low-income mothers tapped into a government nutrition program for women and young children.

Some 42,389,619 Americans received food stamps in August, a 17% rise from the same time a year ago, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, which tracks the data. That number is up 58.5% from August 2007, before the recession began.

By population, Washington, D.C. had the largest share of residents receiving food stamps: More than a fifth, 21.1%, of its residents collected assistance in August. Washington was followed by Mississippi, where 20.1% of residents received food stamps, and Tennessee, where 20% tapped into the government nutrition program.

Idaho posted the largest jump in recipients in the past year. The number of people receiving food stamps climbed 38.8% but their rolls are still fairly low. Just 211,883 Idaho residents collected food stamps in August.

The average benefit size per person nationwide in August was $133.90. Per household it was $287.82.

Research Credit: dilinger


Gold: New Record High; Intraday Break Out of Previous Range

November 5th, 2010

New high: $1394.20.


Applications for Jobless Benefits Rise Sharply

November 4th, 2010

Via: AP:

The number of people seeking jobless benefits jumped sharply last week, after two straight weeks of declines.

The increase undermines hopes that unemployment claims, after falling four times in the previous five weeks, were on a sustained downward trend. That would signal layoffs were slowing and hiring was picking up. Instead, claims remain stuck at an elevated level.

The Labor Department said Thursday that initial claims for unemployment aid rose by 20,000 to a seasonally adjusted 457,000 for the week ending Oct. 30. Wall Street analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had expected a smaller rise.


Nuclear Bunker Houses World’s Toughest Server Farm

November 4th, 2010

Via: Wired:

Deep inside the Swiss Alps, a former nuclear bunker is now the ultimate hiding place for the world’s most sensitive secrets. Wired gains access to the server farm designed to survive a full-scale military attack.

…

“Sixteen years ago, nobody took us seriously,” Oschwald says. “They said to us, ‘Storing data under a mountain? Why?’” In the cheerier geopolitical climate of the 90s, it was decidedly easier to scoff at the eccentric Swiss entrepreneur, with his slicked-back hair and blinding white smile, as he extolled the data-security benefits of his decommissioned bunker. But today — with terrorism, environmental disasters and financial meltdown on the global agenda — some of the biggest players in technology and finance are buying into the facility’s promise. Oschwald can tick off blue-chip companies such as Cisco Systems, Novartis, UBS and Deutsche Bank among his clients.


Fed Will Surpass China As Top Holder Of US Debt By The End Of The Month

November 4th, 2010

Via: ZeroHedge:

What is certain is that on June 30, the Fed’s balance sheet will have $2.68 trillion (or more) in holdings, of which $1.77 trillion will be in Treasurys, compared to the $840 billion today. What is also certain is that the Fed will not be able to stop there. Which is why we have extended the projection period through January 2012. At that point the Fed will hold $2.6 trillion in US Treasuries, or roughly 25% of total US marketable debt at that point. And for those who collect now completely irrelevant statistics, the Fed will surpass China’s $868 billion in UST holdings before the end of November.


Ireland Effectively Closed Out of Bond Markets

November 4th, 2010

Via: Breaking News Ireland:

As Ireland’s cost of borrowing continues to soar, an analyst has today warned that the bond markets are now effectively closed to Ireland.

The interest being sought on 10-year Irish bonds today is creeping towards 8%.

Although the country is not currently borrowing money, analyst Paul Somerville says that the increasing rate displays a lack of confidence in the markets that Ireland will be able to take the necessary action to deal with its deficit.

“Ireland has been shut out of the bond markets now,” said Somerville.

“The bond markets have lost absolute, all faith in the Irish Government.

“Basically, if the rates are at this level when we try to go back to the markets some time at the end of January/February, we will be going straight into the (EU) stability fund.

“It has gotten that serious today.”

—

More: Dump

Via: AP:

Ireland’s finances came under intensifying pressure Thursday as the government — fighting to keep its majority and avoid an election — prepared to unveil a 2011 budget-cut figure billed as the biggest in Irish history.

Investors again dumped Irish bonds, reflecting their skepticism that Ireland can rapidly reverse its huge budget deficit without driving its economy deeper into recession.

The interest-rate premium demanded by investors to buy Ireland’s depreciating bonds has doubled in two months and reached a new modern high again Thursday, jumping to 7.7 percent versus 7.45 percent a day earlier.

—

Related: Largest Student Protest in a Generation Over Proposed Fee Increases


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