Milk It: Fonterra Dairy Exports Rise to Quarter of New Zealand’s National Total
July 28th, 2008WARNING: This is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any financial instruments.
If you’re holding NZD, know that the scheme relies heavily on two factors:
1) The price of milk. Milk solids, actually. That’s right. If milk solids tank, watch out.
2) Japanese carry trade investors. High dairy prices are part of the reason why the New Zealand Dollar is an attractive carry trade destination for Japanese retirees; who make next to nothing on their cash savings in Japan. Whether the Japanese realize that they’re rolling the dice on the price of milk, or not, doesn’t matter. It’s the price of milk that’s allowing the New Zealand government to keep the Ponzi scheme (carry trade) going.
The bottom line is that if dairy prices fall, the Japanese will pull their money and, well, “Bob’s your uncle,” as they say down here.
Via: New Zealand Herald:
Dairy giant Fonterra now accounts for a quarter of all national export earnings, the co-operative says.
A Statistics New Zealand report prepared for Fonterra showed the dairying contribution to export revenues for the year to May had risen by more than 3 per cent to 27 per cent, with Fonterra accounting for 25 per cent.
Fonterra is the world’s largest dairy exporter, fifth largest dairy company globally and trades in 140 countries.
Chairman Henry van der Heyden said much of the increase had been driven by record commodity prices.
“If we hadn’t had the drought, which saw our milk production drop by around 4 per cent, the figure could have been even higher,” he said.
World economic growth and demand from emerging markets – along with reduced supply, drought in Australia and biofuel production driving up the costs of feedstock – helped drive up dairy commodity prices.
The ANZ Commodity Price Index for dairy products hit 291.9 in November, having risen for 15 consecutive months from 127.6 in August 2006. The dairy index has since fallen in all but one month to reach 256.7 in June.
In May Fonterra raised an already record forecast payout to dairy farmers to $7.90 per kilogram of milksolids, compared with $4.46 the previous season. Fonterra said this season’s payout would inject about $9 billion into the economy.
The final payout for the the 2007/08 season would be announced in September, while the opening forecast for next season was the highest initial forecast in the co-operative’s history, at $7 per kilogram of milksolids.
“We’re seeing continued investment from farmers and in our processing capacity. That’s a huge boost, particularly for regions like Southland with a lot of new jobs and benefits flowing through,” van der Heyden said.
“It’s great that dairying is able to make such a positive and timely contribution to the New Zealand economy at a time when the broader economy is facing increasing pressure.”
U.S. Senate Nationalizes More Private Banking Losses
July 27th, 2008Did you take out a conservative loan that you could actually afford?
You’re going to be paying for everyone who didn’t; which means that you’re also going to be paying for the crimes of the bankers who made the toxic waste loans available in the first place.
Renters, the same goes for you, too.
What a country!
Via: San Francisco Chronicle:
Congress completed work Saturday on the government’s most sweeping response yet to the nation’s housing crisis, sending to President Bush a bill designed to help homeowners avoid foreclosure, spur home buying and prop up struggling mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
The Senate, in a rare weekend session, overwhelmingly approved the measure, 72-13, a reflection of the election-year jitters on Capitol Hill over the troubled economy. Bush has said he will sign the bill, which the House approved 272-152.
“Today, Congress did more than send a bill to the president – we sent a message to American families that help is on the way,” said Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd, D-Conn., who helped write the legislation.
The measure’s critics attacked it as a bailout of speculators and irresponsible borrowers at potentially huge cost to taxpayers.
“This bill is fraught with too much risk and too little protection to the taxpayer,” said Sen. Christopher Bond, R-Mo., contending it would allow lenders to “dump their worst subprime mortgages” on the Federal Housing Administration.
And Now: Islamist Bombers Target Olympics
July 27th, 2008In other words, anyone in China who even entertains thought crimes against the diabolical Chinese regime will be seen as working with the Islamic terrorists from now on.
I don’t know how much more of a locked down prison camp China can become, but, unfortunately for the Chinese, they’re about to find out.
After all, that Goldstein is a tricky bastard.
Via: Telegraph:
A MILITANT Islamic group has threatened to attack the Beijing Olympics with suicide bombers and biological weapons and has claimed responsibility for a string of fatal bombings and explosions in China over recent weeks.
In a video released by IntelCenter, a terrorism monitoring group, a bearded man identified as “Commander Seyfullah” is seen reading a declaration of jihad against the Olympics and warns athletes and spectators, “especially Muslims”, to stay away.
It was issued by a group calling itself the Turkestan Islamic party. The group may be allied with the East Turkestan Islamic Movement – designated a terrorist organisation by the US, China and several other countries – which seeks independence for the Muslim Uighur people of China’s far west province of Xinjiang, which Uighur separatists call East Turkestan.
“Commander Seyfullah” said the group was responsible for three bombs last week on buses in the city of Kunming, which killed two people, and for two bus bombings on May 21 in Shanghai, which killed three.
The group said it also bombed a plastics factory in southern China and claimed involvement in an attack on police in the city of Wenzhou using explosives on a tractor, both on July 17.
Some of these incidents had been attributed to criminals, local grievances or accidents.
IntelCenter said that in an earlier five-page communiqué the group had promised to unleash suicide bombers against the Olympics and told Muslims that the use of biological weapons would be religiously justified.
America’s Army: Free Video Game, Social Engineering Tool, Surveillance Platform
July 27th, 2008This video game is nothing less than an automaton that shapes and then harvests teenage minds so that the U.S. Army can repurpose their bodies years later.
I’ve looked at a lot of evil in my days, but this is palpable, murmuring, inky black evil; complete with automated meme delivery and driving, metrics, surveillance. Out the other end drops some number of carbon based lifeforms, with brains at one end, assholes at the other, and trigger fingers usually attached to their right hands. The Army must lick its chops when these kids sign on the dotted line. Not only are the recruits already brainwashed, but they did it to themselves, on their own time.
All the Army has to do is grease the gears of their mechanical Turk and that thing puts the meat on the table.
How is this different from television or school?
The Army is recording everything that the potential recruit is doing in the virtual world, sometimes for years.
What becomes of that data, how is it used, once the person enlists? We don’t know. Maybe SEAS is running on the backend…
How lost must some of the parents be who allow their kids to “play” this… game? Maybe they think it’s just “good, clean fun,” when, in fact, it’s more like an Internet version of Invasion of the Body Snatchers.
As usual, it’s not that bad, it’s worse: How about the parents who encourage their little Christian Warriors to practice killing the infidels on the computer?
If you’re thinking, “No way,” see, Left Behind: Eternal Forces.
Via: TruthOut:
In May of 2002, the United States Army invaded E3, the annual video game convention held in Los Angeles. At the city’s Convention Center, young game enthusiasts mixed with camouflaged soldiers, Humvees and a small tank parked near the entrance. Thundering helicopter sound effects drew the curious to the Army’s interactive display, where a giant video screen flashed the words “Empower yourself. Defend America … You will be a soldier.”(1)
The Army was unveiling its latest recruitment tool, the “America’s Army” video game, free to download online or pick up at a recruiting station, and now available for purchase on the Xbox, PlayStation, cell phones and Gameboy game consoles. Since its release, the “game” has gone on to attain enormous popularity with over 30,000 players everyday, more than nine million registered users, and version 3.0 set for launch in September. “America’s Army” simulates the Army experience, immersing players in basic training before they can go on to play specialized combat roles. Most of the gameplay takes place in cyberspace where virtual Mideast cities, hospitals and oil rigs serve as backdrops for players to obliterate each other. As a “first person shooter,” the game allows players to “see what a soldier sees” in real combat situations – peek around corners, take fine aim, chose weapons that replicate those actually used by the US Army.
…
Yet, far from providing realism, “America’s Army” offers a sanitized version of war to propagandize youth on the benefits of an Army career and prepare them for the battlefield. In the game, soldiers are not massacred in bloody fire typical of most video games, or for that matter, real combat. When hit, bullet wounds resemble puffs of red smoke, and players can take up to four hits before being killed. To further protect youth, concerned parents can turn on optional controls that sanitize the violence even more – shots produce no blood whatsoever and dead soldiers just sit down. This presentation of war contrasts to the much more grisly reality unfolding every day in Iraq and Afghanistan, like a June suicide attack on the Fallujah City Council in which three Marines, two interpreters and 20 Iraqis, including young children, were killed. Photos by American photojournalist Zoriah depict a horror scene in a small courtyard, dismembered body parts – ears, hands and pieces of skull – spot the ground; one Marine’s head looks smeared into the pavement. Zoriah writes of the scene, “There are dying people strewn around like limp dolls along with lifeless bodies of all ages. People are screaming and crying and running as if they have something important to do, only they can’t figure out what that important thing could possibly be … people are literally frantic removing the dead, as if their pace may bring some of them back.” It is this violent, realistic quality of combat that has been excised from the game.
…
Recruiters stage area tournaments with free pizza and sodas; winners receive Xbox game consoles, free copies of “America’s Army” and iPods. Game centers are also set up at state fairs and public festivals with replica Humvees and .50 caliber machine guns, where children as young as 13 can test out the life-sized equipment.
When players walk into Army sponsored tournaments, the government knows more about them then they may suppose. The game records players’ data and statistics in a massive database called Andromeda, which records every move a player makes and links the information to their screen name. With this information tracking system, gameplay serves as a military aptitude tester, tracking overall kills, kills per hour, a player’s virtual career path, and other statistics. According to Colonel Wardynski, players who play for a long time and do extremely well may “just get an e-mail seeing if [they’d] like any additional information on the Army.”
Radovan Karadzic’s Careless Phone Call
July 27th, 2008Via: Telegraph:
THE breakthrough in the hunt for Karadzic came last month from a single telephone call. A Serbian security source said that the call, from Karadzic’s mobile phone, was his “fatal error”.
For years, Serbian and international security services, including Britain’s GCHQ eavesdropping centre, had tapped the telephones of his family, relatives and friends and routinely raided their homes and took them in for questioning as part of a campaign to locate Europe’s most wanted man. That would have been no secret to Karadzic, who had a $5m bounty on his head.
He appears, however, to have become complacent after years in his new skin. At some time in June, according to two Serbian security sources, a telephone call from a mobile number in Belgrade was monitored on the tapped line of one of his relatives. The number was traced to a Dr Dragan David Dabic, living in a small rented apartment in New Belgrade.
Serbian security agents monitored Dabic, following him on his walks in down-town Belgrade and stops at coffee shops and cinemas, visits to his favourite local, the Madhouse, where he would pick up and play the gusle, the traditional Serbian string instrument, and monitoring his telephone calls. It is unclear when they realised that Dabic was in fact Karadzic.
National Guard Rents 500-Plus Hotel Rooms for Democratic Convention
July 27th, 2008Via: Huffington Post:
The U.S. Army and Colorado National Guard have announced intentions to reserve more than 500 hotel rooms for lodging during the Democratic National Convention, hinting at the number of military personnel that may be in Denver for the high-profile event that is expected to draw an estimated 50,000 protesters.
While the Democratic convention is being held on Aug 25-28, officials with the Colorado National Guard are seeking to reserve 438 rooms for Aug. 22-30 and 78 rooms for Aug. 18-30 according to award announcements published Friday on the Federal Business Opportunities Web site, a page run by the federal government for business contract solicitations.
The documents show that majority of guard personnel staying from Aug. 22-30 are set to lodge at Johnson & Wales University, located on 7150 Montview Blvd in far east Denver, while 32 rooms will be rented out for an unknown Extended Stay America location in Denver.
NOTICE OF INTENT: Due to lack of other known sources the Colorado National Guard intends to award a sole source contract to Johnson & Wales University for 3,510 room nights and 3 meals per day 22-30 August 2008 for the Democratic National Convention. The place of performance will be the Denver Colorado.
The term “room nights” refers to the total number of rooms per-night that are being used during a guest’s stay, and is calculated by multiplying the number of rooms by the number of nights a guest stays at the property.
Those staying from Aug. 18-30 are set for the Drury Hotels according to the documents, a building that is also located in far east Denver at 4400 Peoria St.
NOTICE OF INTENT: Due to lack of other known sources the Colorado National Guard intends to award a sole source contract to Drury Hotels Denver East for 1,020 room nights from 18-30 August 2008 for the Democratic National Convention.
The awards notices show that a total of 4530 room nights are planning to be purchased for the Democratic convention, although the cost is currently unknown.
It was recently reported that at least 900 police officers are expected to come to Denver from Wyoming and 12 other locations around the state to assist with security during the convention, for a cost of $25 million in federal tax dollars.
Research Credit: ltcolonelnemo
Multiple Bombings in India
July 26th, 2008Via: BBC:
At least two people have been killed and 55 others injured after a series of explosions struck the western Indian city of Ahmedabad, officials have said.
Nine blasts are thought to have hit residential areas and crowded markets in Gujarat state’s capital city.
Local TV broadcast footage of a wrecked bus and other reports said one device exploded outside a train station.
The blasts came a day after seven devices exploded in the southern city of Bangalore leaving two people dead.
More: Reports of Higher Casualties
Cryptogon Reader Signs Up for Hosting with BlueHost
July 26th, 2008Thanks to the owner of toheal.org for signing up for hosting with BlueHost. Cryptogon received $65.
Ford’s Worst Quarter Ever
July 26th, 2008Via: Business Week:
Ford Motor reported a second-quarter loss of $8.7 billion, its worst single quarter in history.
Much of the loss was due to a writedown in the value of assets, and losses on falling values of SUVs coming off leases back to the automaker’s Ford Motor Credit arm. But, like a kid who wrecks the family car and tries to distract his parents from the bad news by offering to paint the house, Ford unveiled a plan to make over its lineup with more small, fuel-efficient vehicles in the next two-and-a-half years—faster than Wall Street had expected.
Ford’s plan to achieve a net profit in 2009 after losing $15.3 billion the past two years had already been thrown off track by the worse-than-expected housing meltdown and high gas prices. But the huge second-quarter loss was a setback Chief Executive Alan Mulally did not anticipate until a few months ago when SUVs like the Ford Explorer, Ford Expedition, and Lincoln Navigator started losing thousands of dollars in value in a matter of weeks at auctions where off-lease vehicles are sold. Skyrocketing gas prices have cratered demand for such vehicles.
Ford shares were trading down 9.5%, at 5.46, in midday trading on the New York Stock Exchange.
Rabobank: Nationwide Ag Production Costs On The Rise
July 26th, 2008Input prices are still soaring.
Via: Grainnet:
Much attention has focused lately on the run up in the production of agricultural commodities and its effect on food prices.
Additionally, key crop input prices are also rising and show no sign of slowing, according to a new Rabobank report, “U.S. Crop Inputs.”
“Farmers’ use of key crop inputs is reaching record highs, while prices are also at record highs, which is putting the pinch on pocketbooks,” said Associate Erin FitzPatrick with Rabobank’s Food & Agribusiness Research and Advisory (FAR) department.
One reason for the increase in crop input usage is the economic growth in emerging markets where demand for food is driving the need for production.
Additionally, the cost of inputs has increased because of higher price tags on transportation, labor, energy and raw materials as well as the weakened U.S. dollar and regulatory constraints.
During this planting season, farmers have seen a huge increase in the cost of fertilizer — in some case as much as double. Demand has depleted reserves and strained supplies as 2007 global fertilizer consumption climbed more than 4 percent over 2006.
That may seem small, but individual countries, such as China and India, have increased their fertilizer use 38 percent and 54 percent respectively, putting pressure on prices around the world.
“With demand for fertilizers expected to grow and no significant increase in short-term supplies, farmers are likely to continue paying high fertilizer prices,” said FitzPatrick.
Further increases will depend on the types and amounts of crops planted.
In the United States, corn is by far the largest consumer of fertilizer — per acre and in total.
Therefore, when fewer acres of corn are planted the amount of nitrogen fertilizer applied decreases.
“How the picture plays out for individual farmers will vary depending on purchase times and location,” said FitzPatrick.
“Additionally, while 2008 price increases are painful, there would have to be an extreme change in the current marketplace for the price tag on fertilizers to lower in 2009.”
Seeds, chemicals and farming equipment have also experienced changes that are driving costs up.
Globally, crops grown using genetically modified seeds have seen a 67 percent increase since commercialization in 1996, which in some cases has lead to seed shortages.
Additionally, the recent run-up of prices in pesticides can be attributed to a limited supply in the hands of producers.
In regards to input equipment, most key machines are sold out for the season, leaving many farmers with higher maintenance and operation costs.
“While at first glance it may seem that this equipment shortage is due to what many are calling the ‘Ag Boom,’ that is only part of the story,” said FitzPatrick.
“There has been a structural shift to fewer farms with larger acreages, which need different types of machinery.”
However, larger farms do not automatically equate to economic efficiencies as all farmers and suppliers are poised to continue operating along a rising price curve well into 2009.
Because of this steady increase in price, FitzPatrick advised that “while average crop farm incomes are at record highs, so too are total debt/equity levels.


