Building an Artificial America in a Supercomputer: Synthetic Citizens to Help Social Scientists

April 23rd, 2010

I found a one paragraph version of this information linked from Technofascism Blog and I went looking for more. The full text from the 2008 IEEE piece is below.

Knowing what we know about the surveillance data that’s being collected, I see no reason why the “simulation” couldn’t be setup to run on real data, for all Americans. MAIN CORE is already tracking about eight million Americans. Yes, 300 million is a lot more than eight million, but what’s a couple of orders of magnitude when you have an unknown budget and two 1.5 million square foot data centers (Utah / Texas)? Besides, the article below states that the Virginia Tech team was planning to move their version of the simulation to 300 million people.

I know. You’re probably thinking that the machine is going to fill up with blurry pictures of kids’ birthday parties, pikelet recipes, tax returns, trips to WalMart and McDonalds and seemingly infinite amounts of nonsense. That’s right, but the technocrats don’t see it that way. The technocrats see a way to maintain and expand their power. In their warped worldview, this system would offer a way to keep an eye on the freaks, and to set off an alarm when any of those freaks deviate from their normal routine that has been quantified by some Magic 8 Ball algorithm.

The level of granularity could certainly vary, from one individual to another, to conserve datacenter resources. For example, maybe They won’t bother storing your email unless they see firearms related purchases. On the other hand, everyone who’s registered to vote for third party candidates might automatically be added to one of the higher echelon shit lists. The same goes for people who send encrypted email. Or, say the wrong phrase on the phone and the next time you go to the airport, a three hundred pound diabetic, who’s wearing a polyester uniform that smells like fried chicken, will be grabbing your crotch, looking for the bomb that you might have sewn into your underwear. This would all be completely automated.

Now that we’re all considered to be potential terrorists, automation is key.

Via: IEEE:

At a rally in rural North Carolina during the 2008 U.S. presidential election campaign, Alaska governor Sarah Palin infamously said that there was a ”real America” and presumably a fake one. Though she was the butt of jokes for the remainder of the campaign, in a way Palin was right. One state over, a team of computer scientists and a physicist from Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University (Virginia Tech), in Blacksburg, Va., was creating a fake America of its own.

The group has designed what it claims is the largest, most detailed, and realistic computer model of the lives of about 100 million Americans, using enormous amounts of publicly available demographic data. The model’s makers hope the simulation will shed light on the effects of human comings and goings, such as how a contagion spreads, a fad grows, or traffic flows. In the next six months, the researchers expect to be able to simulate the movement of all 300 million residents of the United States.

As many as 163 variables, mostly drawn from the U.S. Census, come into play for each synthetic American. Called EpiSimdemics, the model almost perfectly matches the demographic attributes of groups with at least 1500 people, according to Keith Bisset, a senior research associate who works on the simulation’s software. The software generates fake people to populate real communities and assigns each person characteristics such as age, education level, and occupation to mirror local statistics derived from the most recent national census. In accordance with the data, some individuals are clustered into families, while others live alone.

Every synthetic household is assigned a real street address, based on land-use information from Navteq, a digital-mapping company. Using data from a business directory, each employed individual is matched to a specific job within a reasonable commute from the person’s home. Similarly, actual schools, supermarkets, and shopping centers identified through Navteq’s database are also linked to households based on their proximity to the home. When an artificial American goes grocery shopping, the simulation algorithm assigns probabilities that he or she will visit one store over another, adding an element of unpredictability to a person’s daily schedule.

Though the simulation is not restricted to the study of contagious diseases, a major application so far has been modeling how a flu epidemic might propagate through different regions. To accomplish this, each person has an embedded model of how he or she might respond to the flu, with probabilities derived from epidemiological data and the person’s age and general health.

Now imagine that a few of those model citizens become infected with the flu. Discerning the impact of millions of unique behaviors on infectious disease patterns involves performing many millions of tiny but intertwined calculations. As the sample population grows, those calculations quickly become a hefty computing task. ”The lack of symmetry and regularity makes these types of problems very different from traditional physics problems that require large computing power,” says Stephen Eubank, the physicist on the project.”We have to address all kinds of scaling issues with the very irregular communication patterns in the model.”

To break up the problem into computable chunks, the software treats each person and each location as a separate set of calculations. In a flu experiment, the algorithm starts with a person in a given health state. If the person is recently infected, his or her health will steadily deteriorate over the course of a day. The victim may begin to show symptoms, and at a certain time the person will become contagious. The algorithm stores a record of each person’s health state as it was at each of the locations he or she visited throughout the day.

Once they have been compiled, those health records are dispatched to the modules of code representing the locations visited by each person. The algorithm checks all the interactions among people who were at a location at the same time and determines the number of new infections that arose from the day’s encounters. After those calculations are finished, the location module sends the updated infection data back to the modules representing each person. Each person and each location is calculated on a unique processing element so that many parts of the algorithm can be computed in parallel on a supercomputer. ”This brute-force computation changes qualitatively how we think about the problem,” says Christopher Barrett, who works on the project and is the director of Virginia Tech’s Network Dynamics and Simulation Science Laboratory.

For a recent experiment on flu transmission over three months in the Chicago area, for example, the researchers ran 10 iterations of the simulation in 30 minutes each on a cluster of three dozen machines. By virtue of organizing the problem into people and location entities, they were able to speed up the software substantially; using the algorithms available five years ago, a single simulation on comparable machines would have taken up to six hours.

Each run of the simulation reveals the path that the virus took through the population, which could help identify particularly vulnerable subpopulations and the most effective public health interventions. The simulation can also indicate the number of infections each day over the course of the study period, which is important because the peak in infections indicates the biggest burden on the city’s health system. To simulate flu transmission across the entire country, the computer scientists plan to incorporate human air travel next, using flight data from the International Air Transport Association on the number of flights connecting any two hubs. ”The vision is for a Google-like interface, where you approach the system and ask it a question,” says Barrett. ”The framework is there, and now we’re pushing the system to larger and larger scales.”


Man Sues Pope Over Sexual Abuse and Coverup

April 23rd, 2010

Via: CNN:

An Illinois man is suing the Vatican and Pope Benedict XVI for allegedly covering up sexual abuse by a priest at a Catholic school in Wisconsin.

The lawsuit demands the Vatican release the names of thousands of Catholic priests that the suit says have “credible allegations of sexual misconduct” against them.

The alleged victim, who is now an adult, says he was molested by Father Lawrence Murphy while a student at St. John’s School for the Deaf, according to the complaint filed in U.S. District Court in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

“The defendant, [the] Holy See, has known about the widespread problem of childhood sexual abuse committed by its clergy for centuries, but has covered up that abuse and thereby perpetuated the abuse,” the suit says.

Federico Lombardi, a Vatican spokesman, declined to comment on the case.

Pope Benedict XVI was named as a defendant because he has the ultimate authority to remove priests and because of his involvement in reviewing sex abuse cases when he was Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger, the suit says.

“There are a number of priests, brothers, and agents who defendant continued in ministry after defendant knew or suspected that those agents had molested children,” the suit says.


Buying KFC Buckets Fights Breast Cancer?

April 23rd, 2010

The article below doesn’t mention this, but the KFC menu is heavily laden with Monosodium Glutamate (MSG).

Finger lickin’ death.

Via: Washington Post:

I try to keep an open mind, but my brain is just boggled by the Buckets for the Cure partnership between KFC and Susan G. Komen for the Cure.

I try to keep an open mind, but my brain is just boggled by the Buckets for the Cure partnership between KFC and Susan G. Komen for the Cure.

“Help make the largest single donation to end breast cancer forever,” the campaign urges. The suggestion is that KFC will donate money — its goal is $8.5 million — to the charity at a rate of 50 cents for every special pink bucket of chicken sold over the next month.

But bear in mind that the “F” in KFC stands for “fried.” Here’s a line from the National Cancer Institute’s Web site:

“. . .studies have shown that an increased risk of developing colorectal, pancreatic, and breast cancer is associated with high intakes of well-done, fried, or barbequed meats.”

Beyond that, since obesity raises breast cancer risk, it’s worth looking at some numbers: According to the KFC Web site, an original-recipe fried chicken breast has 320 calories, 15 grams of total fat (including 3.5 grams of saturated fat); a thigh has 220 calories, 15 grams of total fat (4 of them saturated).

So, no, I don’t think that buying fried chicken by the bucket is a good way to fight breast cancer.


Facebook Steps Up Lobbying, Deepens Ties with Intelligence Agencies, FTC

April 23rd, 2010

Here’s my (one sentence) guess about what this is actually about:

Facebook is a CIA cutout that’s frantically lobbying for privacy legislation to remain lax so that it can continue to run its various intelligence operations on the platform.

Via: Venture Beat:

Facebook has been gradually boosting its profile in Washington D.C. over the past year and is on the hunt for a second senior lobbyist to add to its office of four. Disclosures released a few days ago show that, on top of lobbying the usual suspects Internet companies reach out to like the Federal Trade Commission and the U.S. senators and representatives, the fast-growing social network has also been busy deepening ties to government intelligence and homeland security agencies.

Facebook spent $41,390 on lobbying in the first quarter of 2010. That’s on top of the $207,878 it spent last year — the first year Facebook began releasing such disclosures. Although these numbers are tiny compared to the $4.3 million Google spent on lobbying last year, expect them to grow with the company’s influence and ambitions.

What’s interesting about Facebook’s lobbying in D.C. is what it spends money on despite its small size. It was the only consumer Internet company out of Google, Amazon, eBay, Microsoft, Yahoo and Apple to reach out to intelligence agencies last year, according to lobbying disclosure forms. It has lobbied the Office of the Director of National Intelligence — an umbrella office founded in the wake of Sept. 11 that synthesizes intelligence from 17 agencies including the CIA and advises the President — for the last three quarters on privacy and federal cyber-security policy. It has reached out to the Defense Intelligence Agency too.

Andrew Noyes, the company’s manager of public policy communications, says most of Facebook’s work in D.C. consists of basic education — helping legislators and agencies understand how to use the social network for campaigning, reaching out to their constituencies and in their regular line of work. The U.S. Navy used Facebook to alert Hawaiians of a possible tsunami from the Chilean earthquake earlier this year, while the company says 35 government agencies are using social media for governance.

He said the meetings with intelligence agencies were similar. “We disclose this because it’s the right thing to do,” he said. (To be fair, Google and Microsoft also lobbied the Department of Defense last year although they did not reach out to intelligence agencies.)

At the very top of Facebook’s agenda in D.C. is privacy, he said. There’s much at stake. The ease of data collection and sharing on the web is on a collision course with privacy. The suite of projects the company unveiled yesterday at its f8 conference in San Francisco may spark further privacy concerns about the mass of data it will now be tracking on users as they traverse the web. To head off concerns that it is too cavalier with pushing users to be more public, Facebook made a savvy move when it brought longtime privacy advocate Tim Sparapani from the American Civil Liberties Union on-board last year.

Even though the company says its role in D.C. is about awareness for now, developing these relationships will help Facebook get ahead of and influence legislation that may curb its ad targeting abilities. For the last year, Rep. Rick Boucher (D-VA) has pledged that he would draft a web privacy bill, but little has come of it so far. Facebook’s competitor Google has already become a punching bag for privacy advocates; ten governments including France, Germany and the U.K. issued a letter to the search giant on Monday asking it to do more to protect consumer privacy, while legislators have asked the Federal Trade Commission to look into Google Buzz.


WellPoint Routinely Cancels Coverage of Breast Cancer Patients

April 23rd, 2010

So, let me understand this: Obamacare is going to require people to pay for insurance that can be canceled as soon as they come down with a serious illness? Get the state to hold a gun at people’s heads to pay into a scam. That sounds like a pretty good gig for those diabolical corporations. This is is pure fascism.

Man oh man, what a country.

That said, should the people responsible for this situation below be charged with manslaughter, or murder?

Via: Reuters:

Shortly after they were diagnosed with breast cancer, each of the women learned that her health insurance had been canceled. There was Yenny Hsu, who lived and worked in Los Angeles. And there was Patricia Reilling, a successful art gallery owner and interior designer from Louisville, Kentucky.

Neither of these women knew about the other. But besides their similar narratives, they had something else in common: Their health insurance carriers were subsidiaries of WellPoint, which has 33.7 million policyholders — more than any other health insurance company in the United States.

The women paid their premiums on time. Before they fell ill, neither had any problems with their insurance. Initially, they believed their policies had been canceled by mistake.

They had no idea that WellPoint was using a computer algorithm that automatically targeted them and every other policyholder recently diagnosed with breast cancer. The software triggered an immediate fraud investigation, as the company searched for some pretext to drop their policies, according to government regulators and investigators.

Once the women were singled out, they say, the insurer then canceled their policies based on either erroneous or flimsy information. WellPoint declined to comment on the women’s specific cases without a signed waiver from them, citing privacy laws.

That tens of thousands of Americans lost their health insurance shortly after being diagnosed with life-threatening, expensive medical conditions has been well documented by law enforcement agencies, state regulators and a congressional committee. Insurance companies have used the practice, known as “rescission,” for years. And a congressional committee last year said WellPoint was one of the worst offenders.

…

In his push for the health care bill, President Barack Obama said the legislation would end such industry practices.

But many critics worry the new law will not lead to an end of these practices. Some state and federal regulators — as well as investigators, congressional staffers and academic experts — say the health care legislation lacks teeth, at least in terms of enforcement or regulatory powers to either stop or even substantially reduce rescission.

“People have this idea that someone is going to flip a switch and rescission and other bad insurance practices are going to end,” says Peter Harbage, a former health care adviser to the Clinton administration. “Insurers will find ways to undermine the protections in the new law, just as they did with the old law. Enforcement is the key.”


“Lehman Was the Leading Purveyor of Liar’s Loans in the World” — Incidents of Fraud at 90% — “Lehman Sold This to the World”

April 23rd, 2010

I also handled issues for the used-car-salesman-type ‘account executives’. Just before I left, the company switched loan origination systems. The people writing these loans were pissed because they were no longer able to get loans approved for people with fraudulent social security numbers. They would actually complain because the system was telling them that the would-be borrower was using a false/fake/invalid SSN.

“The old system never gave me these problems. How am I supposed to get any work done?! I hate this new system.”

But wait, there’s more.

As part of my daily duties, I had to take remote control of the systems that these donkeys were using. Occasionally, (a couple of times per day, at least) I would see the credit summary screens for the loan applicants. The highest credit score I ever saw was something like 615. The lowest was 520. Sprinkled with bankruptcies, unpaid credit cards, default this, late that.

Every once in a while, I’d chuckle and ask the person on the phone, “And this guy can buy a $400,000 house with no money down!?”

Absolutely God damned right!

That’s what this company did. All day. Monday through Friday.

—Life Inside a Wall Street Chop Shop, from 2006

Hint to investigators: Aurora was generating the high quality stuff! The Lehman entities that you should be looking at, if you really want a thrill, are Finance America and BNC Mortgage.

Finance America was rolled into BNC and BNC was rolled into Aurora.

With regard to Finance America, pay special attention to all of the loans that were originated with the ALE Systems software. If you’re looking for the most serious fraud, this is likely where the lowest hanging fruit are located. Somewhere, I have no idea where, there is going to be a record of manual overrides—approvals—on individual loans. Find the people who did the manual overrides (managers on the production floor in Irvine) and ask them who gave them the authority to do that. My guess is that they will have all kinds of interesting information about how that process worked. Prosecutors should be able to very easily follow the path from the base of the pyramid (that production floor in Irvine), all the way up.

Hint to everyone else reading this: Don’t hold your breath for these prosecutions to ever happen.

Have a nice day.

Via: YouTube / CSPAN:


IRS Agent Didn’t Report $41,842 in EBay Sales

April 23rd, 2010

I need a Comedy category.

Via: Bloomberg:

An Internal Revenue Service agent was found liable for back taxes and penalties for not reporting income on nearly 2,000 transactions on EBay Inc., the online auction site, according to the U.S. Tax Court.

Andrea Fabiana Orellana failed to report $41,842 in income in 2004 and 2005 from sales of designer clothing, shoes and other items, according to a Tax Court summary opinion. Orellana is liable for $12,428 in unpaid taxes and $2,486 in penalties.

Orellana, who represented herself, sold items under several names, including “BlackTheRipper,” the court document said. She could not be reached for comment.

“Petitioner’s attitude toward the preparation of her tax returns appeared to be cavalier,” the U.S. Tax Court opinion said.

The IRS asked for proof of costs and expenses. Orellana, who worked as an IRS revenue officer and resided in California at the time of the IRS examination, testified that she never kept receipts, according to the court. “That would be ridiculous, unheard of. Unless there was some really bizarre reason why I kept a receipt, there were no receipts,” she said according to the court documents.

Orellana was an IRS revenue officer starting in 2001, according to the opinion. Revenue officers are responsible for collecting delinquent taxes, surveying unreported taxes and securing delinquent returns, according to an IRS job description.

Related: U.S. Government Workers Owe Government $3 Billion in Unpaid Taxes


In March, Food Prices Surged by the Most in 26 Years

April 22nd, 2010

Via: AP:

Wholesale prices rose more than expected last month as food prices surged by the most in 26 years.

The Labor Department said the Producer Price Index rose by 0.7 percent in March, compared to analysts’ forecasts of a 0.4 percent rise. A rise in gas prices also helped push up the index.


Generating Megawatts Like Clockwork

April 22nd, 2010

Flashback 1963: The International Passamaquoddy Tidal Power Project

Via: New York Times:

A tidal plant in Manhattan, Maine or elsewhere in the United States that would feed significant power to the grid is at least a few years away.

Posted in Energy | Top Of Page | Comments Off on Generating Megawatts Like Clockwork

Goldman’s Chief Executive Visited the White House at Least Four Times

April 22nd, 2010

Lots of Change to discuss?

Via: McClatchy:

While Goldman Sachs’ lawyers negotiated with the Securities and Exchange Commission over potentially explosive civil fraud charges, Goldman’s chief executive visited the White House at least four times.

White House logs show that Chief Executive Lloyd Blankfein traveled to Washington for at least two events with President Barack Obama, whose 2008 presidential campaign received $994,795 in donations from Goldman’s political action committee, its employees and their relatives. He also met twice with Obama’s top economic adviser, Larry Summers.

No evidence has surfaced to suggest that Blankfein or any other Goldman executive raised the SEC case with the president or his aides. SEC Chairwoman Mary Schapiro said in a statement Wednesday that the SEC doesn’t coordinate enforcement actions with the White House or other political bodies.

Meanwhile, however, Goldman is retaining former Obama White House counsel Gregory Craig as a member of its legal team. In addition, when he worked as an investment banker in Chicago a decade ago, White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel advised one client who also retained Goldman as an adviser on the same $8.2 billion deal.

Goldman’s connections to the White House and the Obama administration are raising eyebrows at a time when Washington and Wall Street are dueling over how to overhaul regulation of the financial world.

Lawrence Jacobs, a University of Minnesota political scientist, said that “almost everything that the White House has done has been haunted by the personnel and the money of Goldman . . . as well as the suspicion that the White House, particularly early on, was pulling its punches out of deference to Goldman and its war chest.

“There’s now kind of a magnifying glass on the administration for any sign of interference or conversations with the regulators and the judiciary,” Jacobs said.

The SEC investigation of Goldman’s dealings lasted 18 months and culminated with the SEC filing civil fraud charges against the investment bank last week.


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