FBI to Begin Terrorism Investigations on Americans “Without Any Basis for Suspicion”
August 23rd, 2008As usual, the Dems squeak pathetically while refusing to do anything substantive (hint: “purse strings”) to stop the slide into ever darker levels of fascism.
Via: AP:
Proposed rules to help the FBI catch terrorists could lead to innocent Americans being spied upon by government agents or informants “all without any basis for suspicion,” a group of Democratic senators said Wednesday.
The rules, known as the attorney general guidelines, have not been approved or even publicly released yet, but four Democrats joined a growing chorus of lawmakers raising concerns after being briefed on what the guidelines say.
Among their fears: Americans could be targeted in part based on their race, ethnicity or religion — or free speech activities protected by the Constitution.
“As you know, attorney general guidelines were first implemented in the wake of the FBI abuses of the 1960s and 1970s, and serve as one of the most important bulwarks against future abuses,” the senators said in a letter to Attorney General Michael Mukasey.
The four Democrats — Sens. Dick Durbin of Illinois, Russ Feingold of Wisconsin, Edward M. Kennedy of Massachusetts and Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island — indicated they remained concerned even after assurances from officials during the Justice Department briefings.
The lawmakers asked Mukasey to hold off finalizing the rules to allow a public review.
“Given the importance of these guidelines, providing a period of time for public comment would be a reasonable and responsible way to move forward and achieve the best possible end result,” the Democrats wrote.
Earlier this week, Senate Judiciary Chairman Patrick Leahy, D-Vt., and the panel’s top Republican, Sen. Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania, also called for delaying the guidelines.
Justice spokesman Brian Roehrkasse said the department will review the requests. Citing remarks earlier by Mukasey about the new rules, the spokesman said an investigation would not be opened based solely on a person’s race, ethnicity or religion.
“The guidelines will require all activities to have a valid purpose,” Roehrkasse said, adding that the rules will “include robust and effective oversight measures.”
The guidelines are expected to be finalized next week. They do not require congressional approval.
First reported last month by The Associated Press, the rules are intended to update policies governing investigations as the FBI shifts from a traditional crime-fighting agency to one whose top priority is protecting the United States from terrorist attacks.
Currently, the FBI must have evidence or allegations of wrongdoing before opening an investigation of U.S. citizens or legal residents from other countries. As described by some law enforcement officials, the new policy would let agents open preliminary terrorism investigations after mining public records and intelligence to build a profile of traits that, taken together, were deemed suspicious.
The officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly about the rules, said factors that could trigger an inquiry would include travel to regions of the world known for terrorist activity and access to weapons or military training, along with the person’s race or ethnicity.
Following their briefings, the four Democrats said the guidelines would:
_Let the FBI use “a variety of intrusive investigative techniques” with no evidence of possible wrongdoing. The techniques could include: long-term FBI surveillance, interviewing neighbors and work-mates, recruiting informants and searching commercial databases for information on people “all without any basis for suspicion.”
“We are particularly concerned that the draft guidelines might permit an innocent American to be subjected to such intrusive surveillance based in part on race, ethnicity, national origin, religion, or on protected First Amendment activities,” the senators wrote.
_Allow the government to collect foreign intelligence information inside the United States without current legal protections for U.S. citizens or legal residents. The senators noted that the broad term “foreign intelligence” would cover any information relating to the activities of a foreign government, organization or person.
_Allow the information gathered to be broadly shared among government agencies. “We have serious questions about the scope of information sharing as it relates to U.S. persons who are under no suspicion of wrongdoing,” the senators wrote.
Biden
August 23rd, 2008I’ve come to view thinking about national elections in the U.S. as a form of mental illness. In order to take the process seriously, you’ve got to check your brain at the door. The willing suspension of disbelief is fine for watching movies, but what should we call it when millions of people do it for something as important as choosing a president? Mass delusion. National suicide. Collapse. Take your pick.
I wasn’t planning on mentioning Obama’s selection of Joe CFR-More-Funding-For-Bush’s-Wars Biden for VP, but something deliciously curious happened when I visited Reddit just now.

Nice touch, don’t you think?
Possibly Related: Reddit Alleged to Have Received FBI National Security Letter Demanding Server Logs
FDIC Friday: Columbian Bank and Trust of Kansas Shut by Regulators
August 23rd, 2008Via: Reuters:
Columbian Bank and Trust Co. of Topeka, Kansas, was closed by U.S. regulators today, the ninth U.S. bank to collapse this year amid bad real-estate loans and writedowns stemming from a drop in home prices.
The bank, with $752 million in assets and $622 million in total deposits, was shuttered by the Kansas state bank commissioner’s office and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., the FDIC said today in a statement.
Citizens Bank and Trust will assume the failed bank’s insured deposits. Columbian Bank’s nine branches will open Aug. 25 as Citizens Bank and Trust offices, the FDIC said. Customers can access their accounts over the weekend by writing checks or using ATM or debit cards.
“There is no need for customers to change their banking relationship to retain their deposit insurance coverage,” the FDIC’s statement said.
The pace of bank closings is accelerating after financial companies reported more than $500 billion in writedowns and credit losses since the start of 2007. The FDIC’s “problem” bank list grew by 18 percent in the first quarter from the preceding three-month period, to 90 banks with combined assets of $26.3 billion.
FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair said last month she expected more lenders to fail this year as the pace of shutdowns rises from historically low levels.
Oil Falls 5.4% in Biggest Drop Since 2004
August 23rd, 2008WARNING: This is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.
A couple of days ago, during the crank rally in oil and gold, and the sell off of the dollar, I wrote:
These moves look like very technical plays. I’d be extremely careful chasing gold or oil long here. These look like textbook DCBs (Dead Cat Bounces) so far. A better gamble might be to look for good entries on long dollar plays as USDX consolidates and daily oscillators pull back from extremes.
Gold has a VERY hard resistance overhead at $850. As I said, I haven’t sold one gram of my gold through any of this recent nonsense, but when it comes to taking on new positions, I wouldn’t want to try to fight that $850 resistance here.
It didn’t take long for the whipsaw move to set in.
Via: Reuters:
Crude oil prices fell more than 5.4 percent on Friday in the biggest one-day slide since 2004 as dealers turned their focus to rising supply levels and weakening global demand.
A rebound in the U.S. dollar encouraged the sell-off, applying downward pressure across the commodities markets by weakening the purchasing power of buyers using other currencies, dealers said.
The slide adds to a more than 20 percent fall in the price of crude since mid-July and could increase the chance oil cartel OPEC will cut official production limits when the group meets in Vienna on September 9.
U.S. crude fell $6.59, or 5.4 percent, to settle at $114.59 a barrel — the biggest fall in percentage terms since December 27, 2004. London Brent crude fell $6.24 to $113.92 a barrel.
“People who were buying yesterday are taking profits today,” said Peter Beutel, analyst at consultancy Cameron Hanover. “There is also renewed technical selling and talk again of demand destruction. The dollar is strong again too.”
The declines Friday were encouraged by two reports — one showing an uptick in OPEC crude oil output and another showing an expected decline in U.S. travel over the September 1 Labor Day holiday weekend as high fuel prices hit consumers.
Industry consultant Petrologistics said on Friday OPEC oil output was expected to rise in August by 450,000 barrels per day, to 32.95 million bpd, a factor that could further beef up inventory levels in consumer nations.
Meanwhile, the U.S. auto and travel group AAA said that Labor Day holiday travel was expected to fall this year by the largest amount in at least eight years as consumers struggle with higher gasoline prices and airfares.
Concerns high energy costs are taking a toll on global fuel demand have played a big role in oil’s sharp descent from peaks above $147 a barrel in mid-July. But oil prices remain up about 15 percent so far this year.
Five Men Found Murdered in Alabama Apartment
August 22nd, 2008Via: Burmingham News:
Five men found slain in a Shelby County apartment appeared to have been bound by duct tape before their throats were slashed, authorities said Thursday.
The men, who were last seen alive Sunday and were discovered Wednesday night, did not appear to have been shot first, authorities said after the first autopsies had been completed.
Thursday evening, Shelby County sheriff’s investigators, the FBI and other officers searched the premises of a red brick, one-level house at 2627 Valleydale Road, apparently in connection with the killings.
Three pickup trucks – white, red and black – were towed from the home’s yard starting about 8 p.m. Investigators also studied a wooded area behind the house. About an hour after the trucks were towed, investigators packed up and left and several people arrived and went into the house.
Shelby County District Attorney Robby Owens, 58, said the case represented the largest multiple killing in the county in his memory.
Owens declined comment about details or angles that authorities may be pursuing, saying they’re awaiting autopsy reports. The men have not been identified.
Investigators said none of the men found dead was on the lease of the apartment. The man whose name was on it was found and was being questioned by authorities Thursday night. Police said that man had not been there for about a month, and they were hoping he could provide more information on the victims.
The victims were found around 6 p.m. Wednesday in the living area of a locked apartment at the Cahaba Lakes complex off U.S. 280.
Research Credit: MR
Sterling Tumbles as UK Economy Grinds to a Halt
August 22nd, 2008Via: Financial Times:
Sterling tumbled on Friday as official figures showed UK economic growth ground to a halt in the second quarter of this year, strengthening fears the economy is already contracting.
The Office for National Statistics revised its first estimate of second quarter growth by more than expected as it said output had been flat quarter on quarter, the lowest figure since the second quarter of 1992.
Gross domestic product was 1.4 per cent higher than in the second quarter of 2007, the lowest year-on-year growth rate since the end of 1992.
Economists had anticipated a smaller downwards revision to the ONS’ initial estimate of 0.2 per cent quarter on quarter growth, and its scale and broad-based nature may raise hopes of an eventual cut in interest rates.
However, the Bank of England had already forecast output would stagnate for the next year, and minutes of the monetary policy committee’s last meeting suggested fears of persistently high inflation could keep rates on hold for some time.
“Even in our gloomy scenario for growth, we would have not expected such an abrupt loss of momentum – and we think the Bank of England would be also surprised,” said Chiara Corsa at Unicredit.
Security Turns U.S. Conventions Into $100 Million Fortresses
August 22nd, 2008Via: Bloomberg:
Two U.S. cities will become virtual fortresses during the Democratic and Republican nominating conventions, protected by airplanes, helicopters, barriers, fences and thousands of police officers, National Guard troops and Secret Service agents.
In Denver, where Democrats assemble next week, police are spending $18 million on equipment alone and will be bolstered by National Guard troops and hundreds of officers from surrounding suburbs. In St. Paul, Minnesota, site of the Sept. 1-4 Republican nominating convention, police are calling on 80 law-enforcement agencies to provide 3,000 officers to supplement the city’s 500- person force.
Congress earmarked $100 million for security at the two meetings, where federal and local authorities are trying to guard against any dangers to candidates or convention-goers.
Russia Has Such a Large Grain Harvest There’s Not Enough Storage
August 22nd, 2008Good news on the grains supply side, I think. Well, maybe not. Russia doesn’t have the infrastructure in place to handle such a massive harvest.
Via: Bloomberg:
Russia risks running out of storage capacity for corn, wheat and barley after the best harvest in at least 15 years, threatening a government plan to expand agricultural output and exports.
Russia has room to store about 95 million metric tons in its silos, according to Russia’s Grain Union, comprising the biggest producers and traders. The government is forecasting a grain harvest of at least 85 million tons, while the union expects farmers to reap 97 million tons.
“This year showed a real lack of storage capacity,” Igor Khudokormov, chairman of Prodimex, a Russian sugar and grain producer, said in an interview in Moscow Aug. 19. “Nobody was ready for this. Now we are having a lot of problems to store the wheat and barley, and all the grain crop.”
Farmers are sowing more crops after prices for corn and wheat reached records this year. The jump in prices had increased concerns that the global food crisis would worsen, after sparking riots from Haiti to Egypt. A food price index compiled by the United Nations’ Rome-based Food and Agriculture Organization peaked in March.
Russia, the world’s second-biggest barley grower, needs to build more elevators in the southern and central parts of the country, where most grain is produced and exported, Grain Union Vice President Alexander Korbut said by phone from Moscow.
Building 100,000 tons of silo capacity in Russia costs about $50 million, said Michael Shneyderman, chief financial officer of Black Earth Farming Ltd. The company farms 143,800 hectares (355,000 acres) of land in Russia.
Construction Costs
Korbut estimates construction costs for 100,000 tons of capacity at about $16.4 million, excluding costs for rail, road and power connections.
The number of available hopper cars and access to ports is also an issue, Korbut said.
The country has 12,500 hopper cars for grains, more than a third fewer than are needed, according to the Grain Union. Of the total, 5,500 are more than 20 years old.
Russia’s total port capacity for exports stands at about 15 million to 18 million tons a year. The country can also send some shipments via Ukraine’s ports on the Black Sea and through Baltic ports, Korbut said.
The government is forecasting grain exports of about 15 million tons this season and has already announced plans to boost grain output by 50 percent in the next five to seven years.
“Russia needs to develop infrastructure ahead of increasing production, removing the bottlenecks,” Korbut said.
Single Harvest
The U.S. has about three times more silo capacity than it can produce in a single harvest, while in Russia “you have roughly the amount of storage you need for a really good harvest,” Allan Mustard, minister-counselor for agricultural affairs at the U.S. embassy in Moscow, said July 30.
The Russian government’s plans for a state grain trader that may control about half of all overseas sales could help improve infrastructure, Prodimex’s Khudokormov said. The government will hold a 25 percent stake, with the rest owned by private firms.
“The government now has lots of money that is lying free,” Khudokormov said. The ownership structure gives “hope it will be run on a commercial basis,” he said.
The 27-nation European Union is the world’s biggest barley grower, according to U.S. Department of Agriculture estimates.
A Few Speculators Dominate Vast Market for Oil Trading
August 21st, 2008Mmm hmm.
Full text.
Via: Washington Post:
Regulators had long classified a private Swiss energy conglomerate called Vitol as a trader that primarily helped industrial firms that needed oil to run their businesses.
But when the Commodity Futures Trading Commission examined Vitol’s books last month, it found that the firm was in fact more of a speculator, holding oil contracts as a profit-making investment rather than a means of lining up the actual delivery of fuel. Even more surprising to the commodities markets was the massive size of Vitol’s portfolio — at one point in July, the firm held 11 percent of all the oil contracts on the regulated New York Mercantile Exchange.
The discovery revealed how an individual financial player had gained enormous sway over the oil market without the knowledge of regulators. Other CFTC data showed that a significant amount of trading activity was concentrated in the hands of just a few speculators.
The CFTC, which learned about the nature of Vitol’s activities only after making an unusual request for data from the firm, now reports that financial firms speculating for their clients or for themselves account for about 81 percent of the oil contracts on NYMEX, a far bigger share than had previously been stated by the agency. That figure may rise in coming weeks as the CFTC checks the status of other big traders.
Some lawmakers have blamed these firms for the volatility of oil prices, including the tremendous run-up that peaked earlier in the summer.
“It is now evident that speculators in the energy futures markets play a much larger role than previously thought, and it is now even harder to accept the agency’s laughable assertion that excessive speculation has not contributed to rising energy prices,” said Rep. John D. Dingell (D-Mich.). He added that it was “difficult to comprehend how the CFTC would allow a trader” to acquire such a large oil inventory “and not scrutinize this position any sooner.”
The CFTC, which refrains from naming specific traders in its reports, did not publicly identify Vitol.
The agency’s report showed only the size of the holdings of an unnamed trader. Vitol’s identity as that trader was confirmed by two industry sources with direct knowledge of the matter.
CFTC documents show Vitol was one of the most active traders of oil on NYMEX as prices reached record levels. By June 6, for instance, Vitol had acquired a huge holding in oil contracts, betting prices would rise. The contracts were equal to 57.7 million barrels of oil — about three times the amount the United States consumes daily. That day, the price of oil spiked $11 to settle at $138.54. Oil prices eventually peaked at $147.27 a barrel on July 11 before falling back to settle at $114.98 yesterday.
The documents do not say how much Vitol put down to acquire this position, but under NYMEX rules, the down payment could have been as little as $1 billion, with the company borrowing the rest.
The biggest players on the commodity exchanges often operate as “swap dealers” who primarily invest on behalf of hedge funds, wealthy individuals and pension funds, allowing these investors to enjoy returns without having to buy an actual contract for oil or other goods. Some dealers also manage commodity trading for commercial firms.
To build up the vast holdings this practice entails, some swap dealers have maneuvered behind the scenes, exploiting their political influence and gaps in oversight to gain exemptions from regulatory limits and permission to set up new, unregulated markets. Many big traders are active not only on NYMEX but also on private and overseas markets beyond the CFTC’s purview. These openings have given the firms nearly unfettered access to the trading of vital goods, including oil, cotton and corn.
Using swap dealers as middlemen, investment funds have poured into the commodity markets, raising their holdings to $260 billion this year from $13 billion in 2003. During that same period, the price of crude oil rose unabated every year.
CFTC data show that at the end of July, just four swap dealers held one-third of all NYMEX oil contracts that bet prices would increase. Dealers make trades that forecast prices will either rise or fall. Energy analysts say these data are evidence of the concentration of power in the markets.
CFTC leaders have argued that speculators are not influencing commodities’ prices. If any new information arises during the agency’s examination of swap dealer activity, officials said they would report it to Congress.
“To date, the CFTC has found that supply and demand fundamentals offer the best explanation for the systematic rise in oil prices,” CFTC spokesman R. David Gary said, reading a statement that had been crafted by agency officials. “Regardless of their classification . . . the CFTC’s market surveillance group scrutinizes daily the positions of all large traders, both commercial and non-commercial, to guard against market manipulation.”
Victoria Dix, a spokeswoman for Vitol, declined to answer questions. The firm, through Dix, released a statement that stated only that it had not been contacted by the CFTC about the reclassification of its business and that its trading status remained unchanged. CFTC officials said they do not typically contact firms that are reclassified.
On its Web site, the firm says it has $100 billion a year in revenue and describes its thriving global energy-trading business.
For most of the past century, regulators put limits on financial actors to prevent them from dominating commodity exchanges, which were much smaller than the bond or stock markets. Only commercial operations, such as farms, airlines, manufacturers and the middlemen that handle their trading activities, were allowed to buy nearly unlimited quantities. The goal was to allow these businesses to minimize the effect of price swings.
The first major change to this regulatory framework occurred in 1991, when Goldman Sachs, through a subsidiary called J. Aron, argued that it should be granted the same exemption given to commercial traders because its business of buying commodities on behalf of investors was similar to the middlemen who broker commodity transactions for commercial firms.
The CFTC granted this request. More exemptions soon followed, including one to the Houston-based energy trader Enron.
“When the CFTC granted the 1991 hedging exemption to J. Aron (a division of Goldman Sachs), it signaled a major shift that has since allowed investors to accumulate enormous positions for purely speculative purposes,” said Rep. Bart Stupak (D-Mich.) Now, he added, “legitimate businesses that hedge and take physical delivery of oil are being trampled by the speculators who are in the market purely to make profit.”
A second turning point came when Congress passed the Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000. The law formally allowed investors to trade energy commodities on private electronic platforms outside the purview of regulators. Critics have called this piece of legislation the “Enron loophole,” saying Enron played a role in crafting it.
In the months after the act was passed, private electronic trading platforms sprang up across the country, challenging the dominance of NYMEX.
“Investment banks had been frustrated with the established exchange because they really were never able to get control of it,” said Michael Greenberger, a law professor at the University of Maryland and a former staff member at the CFTC.
The most successful of the private platforms was InterContinental Exchange, or ICE, founded by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and a few other big brokerages in 2000. ICE soon opened a trading platform in London, allowing its founders to trade vast quantities of U.S. oil overseas without being subject to regulation.
The exemptions for swap dealers and the development of overseas markets allowed big brokerages to open the door for more hedge funds, pensions and big investors to move into commodities.
In the coming years, commodity investments by funds could grow to $1 trillion, veteran hedge fund manager Michael Masters said in testimony before the Senate earlier this year. In an interview, he said this trend could raise commodity prices for everyone in the coming years and “have catastrophic economic effects on millions of already stressed U.S. consumers.”
Meanwhile, commodities have been good business for big Wall Street brokerages. Its commodity trades helped keep Goldman Sachs profitable during the credit crisis, said Richard Bove, a banking analyst at Ladenburg Thalmann.
“Business is lousy right now,” Bowie said of Goldman Sachs. “Commodities and currencies are clearly the strongest business they have right now.”
In the coming months, swap dealers expect to have yet another venue for oil speculation. The CFTC has stated it would not stand in the way of trading in U.S. oil contracts overseas in Dubai. Goldman Sachs and Vitol are among the major investors in this new exchange.
More: TIME: Are Oil Prices Rigged?
Wall Street Journal Claims U.S. Mint Has Stopped Selling American Eagle Gold Coins
August 21st, 2008Hmm. That’s interesting, because, as of right now, the U.S. Mint is still selling them online (with a hefty premium built in).
There’s always a supply of gold coins for sale on eBay. If you want 1oz American Eagles, go to eBay and search for american eagle gold $50. It will be interesting to see if that supply dries up.
Anyway, here’s the full text of the WSJ piece.
Via: Wall Street Journal:
The Eagle Has Been Grounded
Mint Halts Gold-Coin Sales
After Supply Depleted Amid Price Drop
By IANTHE JEANNE DUGAN
August 21, 2008; Page C1
As gold prices tumbled from their highest level ever, investors and collectors loaded up on one-ounce “American eagle” gold-bullion coins. The buying spree came to an abrupt halt this week after the U.S. Mint stopped selling the coins for the first time since production began 20 years ago.
“Due to the unprecedented demand…our inventories have been depleted,” the Mint — part of the U.S. Treasury Department — told its dealers Friday. “We are therefore temporarily suspending all sales of these coins.”
The move shocked sellers and collectors of the coins, which are the most widely traded in the U.S. Suppliers became angry as they turned away customers. Theories about the decision’s underlying cause ran rampant — from investors in gold futures to Russia’s invasion of Georgia.
“This whole thing started about the time the Ruskies made their move,” a collector noted in an Internet chat room called goldismoney.info. “It may very well be that the USGovt is preparing for the real financial meltdown by hoarding all remaining gold flows.”
The Mint says it simply was wiped out. It has sold 311,000 ounces of the coins this year — about 50% more than in all of 2007. In the first few weeks of August alone, buyers snapped up 63,500 ounces.
“We are working diligently to build up our inventory and hope to resume sales shortly,” the Mint wrote in a memo to dealers.
The American-eagle bullion program was launched in 1986 with the sale of gold and silver bullion coins. One-ounce coins have a face value of $50 and $1, respectively, although the coins trade close to the market value of the underlying metal. After the 2008 silver coins, known as silver eagles, surged in popularity earlier this year as silver prices rose, the Mint began rationing them. Dealers were upset by the latest blow. “If I don’t have something to sell, I lose business,” says Rand LeShay of A-Mark Precious Metals, a Los Angeles dealer.
The Mint announced the suspension Friday, the day prices of gold-futures contracts — bets on what gold will cost later — finished below $800 an ounce for the first time this year. The drop accelerated a buying spree among investors. Gold began bouncing back and late Wednesday traded at $810.30. In March, gold futures hit a high of $1,003.20 an ounce.
American-eagle gold-bullion coins are made from 22-karat gold mined in the U.S. The front side’s design was inspired by August Saint-Gaudens’ $20 gold piece, minted from 1907 to 1933. On the reverse side is a nest of American eagles.
The coins are sold by the Mint to 10 dealers world-wide for a premium above the price of gold. These dealers resell the coins, which now fetch about $815.
The American Precious Metals Exchange, an online gold dealer, posted an alert about the Mint’s move, generating confused and angry responses. Many customers said they were mystified because the silver-coin rationing followed a price surge, while the gold suspension followed a drop.
“The situation is strange and doesn’t fit the ‘normal’ supply & demand economic model,” the firm wrote to customers.
The Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee, an advocacy group, said the Mint’s move proved financial institutions are colluding to set prices.
“The suspension is overwhelming evidence…that the commodities exchanges are being used…as part of a massive scheme of manipulation of the precious metals, currency and bond markets,” the group wrote on its Web site.
More: American Eagle Gold Coins Sold Out After Spree


