Foreclosures: ‘Worst Three Months of All Time’
October 16th, 2009This is the best Green Shoots article in weeks.
Via: CNN:
Despite concerted government-led and lender-supported efforts to prevent foreclosures, the number of filings hit a record high in the third quarter, according to a report issued Thursday.
“They were the worst three months of all time,” said Rick Sharga, spokesman for RealtyTrac, an online marketer of foreclosed homes.
During that time, 937,840 homes received a foreclosure letter — whether a default notice, auction notice or bank repossession, the RealtyTrac report said. That means one in every 136 U.S. homes were in foreclosure, which is a 5% increase from the second quarter and a 23% jump over the third quarter of 2008.
Nevada continued to be the worst-hit state with one filing for every 23 households. But even tranquil Vermont, where the foreclosure crisis has barely brushed the housing market, saw foreclosure filings jump nearly 170% compared with the third quarter of 2008. Still, that resulted in just one filing for every 5,023 households in the state — the best record in the country.
The RealtyTrac report also unveiled the results for September, and it found that there was slight relief from foreclosure filings. Last month, notices totaled 343,638, down 4% compared with August. Unfortunately, that total accounts for 87,821 homes that were repossessed by lenders.
That deluge contributed significantly to the quarter’s record 237,052 repossessions, a 21% jump from the previous three months. So far this year lenders have taken back 623,852 homes.
“REO activity increased from the previous quarter in all but two states and the District of Columbia, indicating that lenders may be starting to work through some of the pent-up foreclosure inventory caused by legislative delays, loan-modification efforts and high volumes of distressed properties,” James Saccacio, RealtyTrac’s CEO, said in a statement.
Most disturbing is that all foreclosures — not just repossessions — are rampant despite efforts to corral them. Not only has the Obama administration’s Making Home Affordable foreclosure prevention program taken a bite out of REOs but lenders themselves have scaled back repossessions over the past few months to give the program time to work.
And in some low-price markets, lenders simply aren’t following through on foreclosures, according to Jim Rokakis, treasurer for Cuyahoga County, Ohio, which includes Cleveland.
“They’ll even set the date for the sheriff’s sale, but they don’t file the final papers,” he said. “They hold it in abeyance and let the residents stay in the house.”
In ever more frequent cases, delinquent borrowers want out of the mortgage worse than the lenders. There are no firm statistics for it, but many industry watchers claim the percentage of REOs caused by borrowers voluntarily walking away from their homes is skyrocketing.
A study of the trend by the Chicago Booth School of Business and the Kellogg School of Management determined that when home price declines drop home values 10% below the mortgage balances, people start to give up their homes. When “negative equity” approaches 50%, 17% of households default, even when they can still afford their mortgage payments.
No end in sight
The foreclosure crisis may not diminish anytime soon. “The fastest growing area is in the 180 days late-plus category, the most seriously delinquent borrowers,” Sharga said. “It’s going to be a lingering problem.”
Plus, the RealtyTrac statistics may understate the depth of the foreclosure mess because lender and government actions have delayed many filings. As a result, some delinquencies have not been counted on the foreclosure tallies. That means the crisis may not end quickly.
And because there are so many delinquent borrowers, Sharga predicts the banks will be slow to take back their properties and put the repossessed homes back on the market.
“It’s hard to envision [the banks] putting millions on properties up for sale and cratering prices,” he said. “Recovery will be slow and gradual. I don’t see home prices getting much better until 2013.”
False Memories ‘Written’ on Flies’ Brains
October 16th, 2009Via: CBC:
Scientists have given fruit flies memories of traumatic experiences that never actually happened by directly manipulating nerve cells in their brains.
Researchers in the U.K. and U.S. were able to create an association in the flies’ brains between an odour and an unpleasant experience, akin to an electric shock. The treated flies avoided the smell as if the bad memory had actually happened.
“Flies have the ability to learn, but the circuits that instruct memory formation were unknown,” Gero Miesenboeck of the University of Oxford said in a release.
Miesenboeck and his colleagues were able to isolate a circuit of just 12 neurons in the flies’ brains that was responsible for the memory.
To “write” the memories on the flies’ brains, the researchers injected them with molecules responsible for nerve impulses. The molecules were wrapped in a chemical “cage” that released the molecules when exposed to light.
The caged molecules were genetically targeted to activate only certain neurons.
So, instead of exposing the flies to an electric shock when a particular odour was present, they shone laser light on the flies, releasing the caged molecules and activating the targeted neurons.
Initially, the researchers made guesses as to which areas of the brain would be responsible for the memory, but through repeated experiments, they were able to pinpoint the 12 neurons responsible.
Miesenboeck said this technique could lead to a greater understanding about how the brain functions by directly stimulating circuits of nerve cells. He said study of the fruit fly brain can reveal a lot about how more complex brains work.
“As a general rule, biology tends to be conservative. It’s rare that evolution ‘invents’ the same process several times,” he said.
Gold Pullback; Short Term Fibonacci Retracement Levels
October 15th, 2009WARNING: This is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.
Gold is finally pulling back to consolidate the recent move. Here are the short term Fibonacci retracement levels for just the breakout move over the last several days. Keep in mind the previous all time high at $1032 now becomes a support as well.
New Zealand: Proposed Powers ‘Bordering on Police State’
October 15th, 2009Via: Stuff:
On the second anniversary of controversial police raids, political activists today told MPs a new bill allowing police greater powers to search and monitor could stifle freedom of speech.
Privacy Commissioner Marie Shroff also raised concerns and recommended a raft of beefed-up safeguards to better protect people.
Parliament’s justice and electoral select committee is considering the Search and Surveillance Bill which is based on a 2007 Law Commission report and also brings together police powers which are scattered through numerous statutes.
It gives police and other law enforcement agencies increased powers such as the ability to compel people to answer questions, clone computer information and makes changes to searches and surveillance.
Several activists, arrested by police in the past, referred to the October 15, 2007 controversial police “anti-terror raids” at Ruatoki in the Eastern Bay of Plenty and Whakatane, Palmerston North, Auckland and Wellington when appearing before the committee today.
Activist Annemarie Thorby made an impassioned submission to MPs saying the new bill gave police powers to search without warrant any arrested or detained person, or if authorities had concerns about safety or felt their investigation would be compromised.
“They can just go straight in, they don’t need a judge’s permission,” she said.
“It’s a nightmare, it’s bordering on a police state.”
MPs emphasised the bill focused on criminals, but activists were worried it would apply to them.
Harrods to Sell Gold Bullion for First Time
October 15th, 2009WARNING: This is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.
Public participation phase?
Via: Telegraph:
It is renowned for its glitzy clientele and upmarket Knightsbridge location, but shoppers at department store Harrods will from today be able to buy the ultimate luxury accessory – gold bars.
From this morning, Harrods will start selling gold bullion and coins over the counter.
In a sign that the credit crisis has left his gilded customer base largely untouched, Harrods owner Mohamed Fayed has teamed up with Produits Artistiques Métaux Précieux (PAMP), the Swiss refiner, to sell gold in the store.
Aimed at private investors, the gold will be sold at the Harrods Bank branch on the lower ground floor of the West London store.
Poor interest rates and falling property prices have left wealthy investors looking for alternative asset classes to put their money into. A weak dollar yesterday pushed the gold price to a record high of $1,072 an ounce.
Chris Hall, head of Harrods Gold Bullion, said: “The financial environment has kindled a new demand for physical gold among private investors in Britain. For many people this is a new and unfamiliar asset class that demands absolute trust. Until now London has had no well-recognised name serving this market.”
“Harrods saw the opportunity to help individuals buy physical gold in a prudent manner.”
Mehdi Bakhordar, managing director of PAMP, said: “Harrods stock our full range and are now the only location in London where investors can purchase a 12.5kg gold bar ‘off the shelf’.”
Harrods, famed for its gold and green livery, has never sold bullion before.
U.S. to Send Up to 45,000 More troops to Afghanistan
October 15th, 2009Via: Telegraph:
President Barack Obama’s administration is understood to have told the British government that it could announce, as early as next week, the substantial increase to its 65,000 troops already serving there.
The decision from Mr Obama comes after he considered a request from General Stanley McChrystal, the US commander in Afghanistan, to send tens of thousands of extra American troops to the country.
Air Chief Marshal Sir Jock Stirrup, the Chief of the Defence Staff, said: “I don’t want to put words in the mouths of the Americans but I am fairly confident of the way it is going to come out.”
An announcement next week could coincide with a meeting of NATO defence ministers in Bratislava, Slovakia, due next Thursday and Friday.
White House press secretary Robert Gibbs dismissed the claims, after President Obama met with his war council for the fifth time to map out a new strategy in Afghanistan.
“I would not put any weight behind the fact that a decision has been made, when the President has yet to make a decision,” he told reporters in Washington.
“I’ve seen the report. It’s not true, either generally or specifically. The president has not made a decision.”
But Ministry of Defence sources indicated that the British Government had been told to expect a substantial increase in the number of of American troops.
Lazard CEO Bruce Wasserstein Dies at 61
October 15th, 2009Via: AP:
Bruce Wasserstein, the CEO of Lazard Ltd. and a prominent Wall Street dealmaker who helped negotiate some of the largest corporate takeovers in history, died Wednesday. He was 61. The death of the driving force behind Lazard raises questions about the future of one of Wall Street’s top mergers and acquisitions advisory firms.
Wasserstein was hospitalized earlier this week for an irregular heartbeat, with the company saying Sunday his condition was serious but he was “stable and recovering.” In a statement Wednesday, Lazard’s board said the cause of death had not yet been determined.
Windows 7: Open Thread
October 15th, 2009There’s nothing worse than this OS vs. that OS threads, but people are asking me about Windows 7.
I’ll be very brief, so my head doesn’t explode:
Would I pay to upgrade my Windows XP box to Windows 7? No way.
Would I avoid Windows 7 like the plague/Vista? No.
If I was buying a new computer, would I get Windows XP or Windows 7?
This one is very subjective. If you want a modern looking GUI, maybe Windows 7 is for you. For me, I’d stick with XP. All of my software works 100% of the time. The thing is rock solid and fast. The end.
Besides, I run very demanding financial analysis software that needs to be reliable in real time trading environments. While I could use virtualized XP on Windows 7, why bother since I have everything running fine under native XP?
Re: Macs: I like Macs.* I’ve used them, off and on, since 1984. I’ve always accommodated the handful of Mac users who wanted to use their machines on corporate networks I’ve been involved with, even against the orders of stupid PHBs. While I like Macs, in general, the software I need to use doesn’t run on Mac OS.
* The Apple price premium, however, is absurd and Steve Jobs is a serious asshole. While Bill Gates may be the antichrist, or worse, somehow he doesn’t rise to that Steve Jobs level of asshole. That said, in the years before Steve Jobs came back, Apple nearly died. Apple needed a serious asshole like Jobs.
Re: Linux: Linux on the client side remains broken, in my opinion. Yes, many of you use Ubuntu. I’m happy for you. Wake me up when Photoshop runs on that thing. Mentioning WINE or Gimp will convince me that you don’t know what you’re talking about. Video editing? Never mind.
On the server side, however, Linux makes the most sense, in my opinion.
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October 15th, 2009Thanks to the owner of marvinmolina.com and to Anonymous for signing up for hosting with BlueHost. Cryptogon received $180.
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October 15th, 2009Thank you.
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