Rangiora Eco Village

March 13th, 2008

I read about the new Rangiora Eco Village development in a local newspaper yesterday. I wanted to mention it because I know that some of you are in New Zealand, or are planning to be here soon. This isn’t too far from where I’m sitting at the moment, and I’d like to see more Cryptogonners in the neighborhood. * hint *

Yep, you would need to bring a decent chunk of change, but it looks like you would be getting the total package, with community being the most important benefit.


LENDERS TO LIQUIDATE CARLYLE CAPITAL

March 13th, 2008

Via: BBC:

Carlyle Capital Corporation (CCC), a unit of the private equity firm Carlyle Group, has said it will not be able to meet lenders’ demands for money.

The US mortgage-backed bond fund will collapse if, as expected, its lenders liquidate the fund to take possession of its remaining assets.

CCC is the latest casualty of the declining US housing market.

Its shares were suspended last week after some lenders forced it to sell assets to get their cash back.

“Almost within the blink of an eye, a business that had borrowed $21bn from the world’s biggest banks to invest in high-quality mortgage-backed securities will be gone, liquidated, kaput,” said BBC business editor Robert Peston.

“Such is the whirlwind blowing through global financial markets.”

CCC’s collapse will lose its clients some $600m, according to Simon Denham, managing director at Capital Spreads.

He believes this will have a “serious knock on effect across the hedge fund fraternity” with lending banks demanding an increasing level of cash to insulate themselves against the possibilities of credit defaults.


EUR/USD 1.5600

March 13th, 2008

WARNING: This is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.

Dollar holders getting bent over a barrel. Gold is up, around $990.

I hope Cryptogon crash traders are managing well out there.

Via: Forbes:

The dollar fell below 100 yen to reach a 12-year low this morning, as well as hitting a new record low against the euro as recession fears sparked a fresh bout of risk aversion.

‘This is a market that is focused on risk more than return and sentiment remains significantly negative that the market is wary about taking on board excessive risk,’ said Divyang Shah at Commonwealth Bank.

The dollar dipped briefly below the 100 yen level for the first time since November 1995 to reach a low of 99.75. Speculation that the Bank of Japan could step in to intervene at these levels meant it failed to hold below 100, however, and at 8.57 am GMT it was trading at 100.08 yen.

The Swiss franc was another focus of safe-haven buying, with the dollar hitting a low of 1.0057 sfr, sparking talk of a breach of parity.


Fed Takes Boldest Action Since the Depression to Rescue U.S. Mortgage Industry

March 13th, 2008

Via: Telegraph:

The US Federal Reserve has taken the boldest action since the 1930s, accepting $200bn of housing debt as collateral to prevent an implosion of the mortgage finance industry and head off a full-blown economic crisis.

The Bank of England, the key European central banks, and the Bank of Canada all joined in a co-ordinated move with a mix of policies to halt the dowward spiral in the credit markets, expanding on the “shock and awe” tactics used late last year.

The Fed’s dramatic step came after an emergency conference call by governors on Monday night. It followed the melt-down of the US chartered agencies — Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and other lenders — which together guarantee 60pc of the entire US home loan market. Fannie Mae’s share price fell 19pc in panic trading on Monday after Barron’s magazine said it may need a rescue package.

“The agency crisis was a Tsunami event,” said Tim Bond, global strategist at Barclays Capital.

“The market was starting to question the solvency of bodies that stand at the top of the credit pile. These agencies together wrap or insure $6 trillion of mortgages. They cannot be allowed to fail because it would cause a financial disaster. The fact that this sector has blown up has caught everybody’s attention in Washington,” he said.


New Arrest in SocGen Trading Scandal

March 12th, 2008

Kerviel, according to legend, entered fictitious hedge positions that tricked the bank’s risk exposure system into ignoring the real positions!?

If the people behind this had bombed the bank’s headquarters into a pile of rubble and killed all the executives, they would have done far less damage than what was accomplished with this hack. Or, this is a smoke screen being used to try to hide even more unthinkable financial horrors.

The piece also says that Kerviel, “misappropriated other people’s computer access codes.”

Two factor authentication has been standard in the finance industry for years. Simply: Two different authentication methods are required for access to critical systems. Access is only granted when a user supplies his or her credentials (username and password) ALONG WITH some other security token, usually a cryptographic security token that is displayed on a small device. (Biometrics are an option for the other factor.) The cryptographic signature changes every several seconds. It is synced with the server that is providing authentication. The token is usable only once, and within a very narrow time window.

In other words, when they’re saying that Kerviel, “misappropriated other people’s computer access codes,” did he go around and ask to borrow their one-time-pass cryptographic token generators, as well as their usernames and passwords?

I really don’t know what this situation at Societe Generale represents, but I can tell that it’s not the work of one man.

No way.

—French Bank Says Trader Hacked Computers

Like I said: No way.

Via: Reuters:

Police arrested another employee of Societe Generale on Wednesday as they probe the world’s biggest rogue trading scandal, Paris prosecutors said.

In January, France’s second-biggest listed bank SocGen unveiled 4.9 billion euros ($7.53 billion) of losses which it blamed on rogue deals carried out by Jerome Kerviel, a 31-year old junior trader at the bank.

The losses have made SocGen a possible bid target.

The Paris prosecutor’s office identified the latest person being held as a trader from a subsidiary of SocGen.

A source close to the matter said the person being held works for SG Securities, the bank’s share brokerage arm.

SocGen declined to identify the person or the division.

A spokeswoman for the bank said police had searched SocGen’s trading room at its glass-fronted headquarters in the Le Defense financial district on Wednesday.

She confirmed one person was being held for questioning.

Kerviel has been placed under investigation for breach of trust, computer abuse and falsification. He is being held in a Paris prison after a decision to grant bail was overturned.

The fresh arrest comes ahead of a hearing on Friday on whether Kerviel should remain in custody.


Lehman Cutting 5% of Work Force

March 12th, 2008

Via: Reuters:

Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc, the Wall Street investment bank, is laying off 5 percent of its work force, or about 1,430 people, because of difficult market conditions, a person briefed on the matter said on Monday.

The cuts are being made across all divisions and regions, and employees affected are being notified on Monday, the person said.

Lehman employed about 28,600 people as of Nov. 30, 2007, according to the company’s most recent annual report.

The bank declined to comment.

Before Monday, Lehman had eliminated close to 4,000 jobs in the last year. Many were in mortgage operations, which have been hurt by the nation’s housing slump. Lehman is the largest underwriter of U.S. mortgage bonds, Thomson Financial said.


Gold: Intraday Intervals Forming Messy Symmetrical Triangle

March 12th, 2008

WARNING: This is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.

I was just looking at the four and eight hour intervals on gold and my Magic 8 Ball, chicken entrails and tea leaves lead me to believe that we might have a bullish Symmetrical Triangle forming… Yeah, squint really hard, it might help you see it. * chortle * And right under that big, fat $1000. Squint some more and you might see a bullish Ascending Triangle.

Strap yourself in tight, it’s going to be wild, one way or the other, when the range bound slop gives way.


Dollar Whip Sawed Back Down; Record Low

March 12th, 2008

Via: Bloomberg:

The dollar fell to an all-time low against the euro on concern that the Federal Reserve’s plan to provide funds to banks won’t be enough to break the gridlock in money-market lending and stem credit losses.

An index tracking the dollar against six major currencies fell close to a record low as traders bet the Fed will cut rates by as much as three quarters of a percentage point next week to avert a recession, while the European Central Bank keeps borrowing costs unchanged. The yen advanced against the dollar and the South African rand after a government report showed Japan’s economy grew faster than forecast in the fourth quarter.

…

Policy makers in the U.S., U.K., Canada, Switzerland and the euro region agreed yesterday on a second round of emergency- loans to curb rising money-market rates. The Fed said it will lend as much as $200 billion of Treasuries through a new lending tool and widen the collateral it accepts to include mortgage- backed securities.

Related: The U.S. Dollar’s Post-Fed Action Rally Lasted About as Long as Cheap Lipstick on a Prom Date


U.S. Corn Biofuels Will Expand Gulf of Mexico ‘Dead Zone’

March 12th, 2008

I’m finished with posting Corn-Ethanol-Is-Stupid stories. The only people who think it’s a good idea are the corn industrial complex interests and the corrupt politicians who accept the payola. Enough already.

Via: AFP:

A planned increase in US ethanol production from corn would spell environmental “disaster” for marine species in the Gulf of Mexico, said a co-author of a science study published Monday.

A boost in corn production will worsen the Gulf’s so-called “dead zone,” an area with so little oxygen that sealife suffocates, said Simon Donner, a geographer at the University of British Columbia in Western Canada.

“Most organisms are not able to survive without enough oxygen,” Donner told AFP. “All the bottom-dwelling organisms that can’t move away are probably going to die, while fish will migrate if they can.”

Donner and Chris Kucharik of the University of Wisconsin used computer models to conclude that growing enough corn to meet US biofuel goals set for 2022 would cause a boost of 10 to 34 percent in nitrogen pollution in the Mississippi and Atchafalaya Rivers, which run into the Gulf of Mexico.

In turn, the study said, there will be more than a 95 percent probability of failure in American targets to reduce the Gulf dead zone.

The study is published Monday in the online Early Edition of the Proceedings of the National Journal of Sciences.

The Gulf’s dead zone, first measured about three decades ago, has grown to cover an area as large as 20,000 square kilometers (12,400 square miles) each summer in the Gulf, which is ringed by the southern United States, Mexico and Cuba.

The zone is caused indirectly by nitrogen fertilizers used on cornfields in states like Illinois, Iowa, Nebraska and Wisconsin. Excess nitrogen runs into the Mississippi River, becomes nitrate, and feeds algae growth. When the algae eventually dies it sinks to the bottom and rots, a process that sucks oxygen out of the water and kills all other life forms.

Donner noted the continental United States already produces about half of the world’s corn, in part for human consumption but mostly to feed livestock or make ethanol.

The authors predict the only way nitrate pollution could be controlled and ethanol targets met would be if American farmers stop raising meat animals on corn and dramatically change agricultural management techniques.


Brazil: Women Destroy GE Crops

March 12th, 2008

Nice work, ladies.

Via: AFP:

Around 300 women rural residents in Brazil burst into a property owned by the US company Monsanto and destroyed a plant nursery and crops containing genetically modified corn, their organization said.

The women were protesting what they saw as environmental damage by the crops.

They trashed the plants within 30 minutes and left before police arrived at the site in the southern state of Sao Paulo, a member of the Landless Workers’ Movement, Igor Foride, told AFP.

The Brazilian government had “caved in to pressure from agrobusinesses” by recently allowing tinkered crops to be grown in the country, he said.

In Brasilia, a protest by another 400 women from an umbrella group, Via Campesina (the Rural Way), was held in front of the Swiss embassy against Syngenta, a Swiss company that is selling genetically modified seeds in Brazil.

The demonstrators called attention to an October 2007 incident in which private guards working for Syngenta killed a protester taking part in an occupation of land owned by the company.

Via Campesina said in a statement that “no scientific studies exist that guarantee that genetically modified crops won’t have negative effects on human health and on nature.”

It added that on Tuesday, another 900 of its members had entered a property owned by the Swedish-Finnish paper giant Stora Enso and ripped out non-modified eucalyptus saplings they claimed were illegally planted.


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